NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	88		Excitement	3.2 [1167]		MVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): +10.9%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	1.0 [668]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): -13.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	64%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	59%	0.02	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Salah Mejri	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	15	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	9	44%	-0.04
Harrison Barnes	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	17	38%	-0.06	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.20	-0.02	-0.08	17	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	14	70%	0.13	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	16	61%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	79%	0.05	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	14	48%	0.05	5	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	3.3	24.8	14.6	28.5	2.7	32.3	133.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.4%

PHX +7.6%

DAL -0.3%

DAL -0.1%

PHX +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	14.7	92.6	108.5	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		105.3	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.3		111.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.2	13.6	15.7	12.4	14.7
PHX	14.1	14.6	15.0	19.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Collinsworth	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	-8	2	13.1	15.1	-2.01	16.7	15.5	1.19
Salah Mejri	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-10	6	14.7	14.7	0.04	13.4	16.0	-2.61
Devin Harris	47	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-19	24	14.1	15.3	-1.12	16.2	15.3	0.93
Maxi Kleber	29	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-7	0	12.5	15.7	-3.16	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Dwight Powell	54	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.14	-3	-11	8	15.8	13.3	2.55	16.5	14.9	1.62
Yogi Ferrell	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-13	12	12.9	18.7	-5.87	16.3	14.4	1.96
Dirk Nowitzki	52	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-4	-6	16.7	12.3	4.49	16.3	15.2	1.04
Wesley Matthews	72	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-8	2	15.1	13.6	1.46	15.3	17.0	-1.74
Dennis Smith Jr.	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.11	-19	5	-24	15.4	13.3	2.12	15.2	16.9	-1.67
Harrison Barnes	65	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	5	-24	14.8	14.5	0.32	15.2	17.0	-1.76

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Warren	71	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	6	2	15.9	15.4	0.44	15.3	12.9	2.44
Devin Booker	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	7	0	16.0	15.3	0.69	15.9	12.6	3.28
Josh Jackson	56	56	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	6	2	14.7	17.4	-2.69	15.5	13.6	1.82
Tyson Chandler	52	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	7	0	16.0	15.5	0.48	16.9	12.1	4.80
Marquese Chriss	57	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	3	8	14.7	17.4	-2.70	14.2	15.5	-1.26
Dragan Bender	40	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	6	2	17.1	14.8	2.32	13.2	15.9	-2.68
Jared Dudley	39	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	12	-10	15.7	15.8	-0.17	13.8	15.4	-1.63
Troy Daniels	38	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	8	-2	17.4	14.7	2.69	13.6	15.5	-1.82
Isaiah Canaan	9	9	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	6	2	17.2	15.6	1.61	15.3	14.7	0.68
Danuel House	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	8	-2	15.4	15.9	-0.44	12.9	15.3	-2.44
Tyler Ulis	23	23	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	15	-16	14.6	16.2	-1.59	12.0	15.6	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 109, SAC 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NJN 90, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAL 90, PHX 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%