NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	2.7 [1168]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +12.4%
Washington Bullets	109		Comeback	1.0 [1236]		LVP	Kevin Edwards (NJN): -11.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yinka Dare	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jack Haley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	20	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03
Eric Montross	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	7	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.21	-0.00	-0.14	17	22%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	17	39%	-0.04	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	14	42%	-0.06	6	-0.05	3	100%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	10	95%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	10	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	9	64%	0.05	3	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	14	59%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.3	25.8	15.6	26.6	2.6	22.2	117.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +53.0%

WAS +3.4%

NJN -19.8%

WAS +12.1%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	13.3	15.6	93.8	111.2	104.4
season	15.4	14.8		101.7	104.3
opponent	15.8	14.9		103.3	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.8	16.6	17.2	13.3	16.4
WAS	12.5	14.1	11.1	15.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Kleine	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.28	-9	-10	1	17.2	16.1	1.17	12.6	13.6	-1.00
Yinka Dare	14	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-30	41	12.3	17.1	-4.85	16.7	12.7	3.98
Jack Haley	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	13.0	16.9	-3.87	16.3	12.9	3.35
Kevin Edwards	51	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-22	25	15.1	18.0	-2.92	12.6	14.0	-1.33
Tony Massenburg	65	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-23	27	16.6	16.1	0.44	13.7	12.5	1.13
Xavier McDaniel	36	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.31	-22	3	-25	15.7	16.9	-1.17	11.7	14.3	-2.63
Jim Jackson	81	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	2	-23	16.5	16.3	0.19	13.4	12.8	0.59
Kerry Kittles	74	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-3	-13	17.2	13.9	3.27	13.7	11.7	2.07
Eric Montross	36	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	2	-23	18.9	14.9	3.94	12.6	13.7	-1.13
Kendall Gill	82	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.16	-23	4	-27	16.6	15.6	1.00	13.2	14.0	-0.81

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.55	38	-19	57	12.4	15.1	-2.62	17.6	13.8	3.77
Calbert Cheaney	57	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.58	38	-19	57	12.4	14.5	-2.05	17.3	15.2	2.06
Chris Webber	63	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.29	28	-9	37	12.9	14.0	-1.10	17.3	14.9	2.43
Gheorghe Muresan	58	58	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.66	40	-21	61	12.6	14.2	-1.61	18.2	13.8	4.37
Juwan Howard	66	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.49	33	-14	47	12.4	15.2	-2.76	17.4	14.5	2.84
Harvey Grant	24	25	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	27	-35	13.5	13.2	0.27	14.1	17.3	-3.17
Jaren Jackson	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	13.1	13.3	-0.19	15.5	16.6	-1.06
Ben Wallace	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	26	-33	17.2	12.7	4.54	13.6	16.8	-3.25
Ashraf Amaya	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	30	-41	16.7	12.7	3.98	12.3	17.1	-4.85
Tim Legler	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.43	-16	35	-51	15.3	12.6	2.69	15.0	16.9	-1.88
Tracy Murray	55	54	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.47	-18	37	-55	13.6	12.9	0.65	15.2	18.0	-2.71
Chris Whitney	32	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.49	-19	38	-57	15.1	12.4	2.62	13.8	17.6	-3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 88, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.8%
OKC 83, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 91, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%