inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 83 Excitement3.6 [1087] MVPDarren Collison (SAC): +17.3%
Sacramento Kings 104 Comeback1.0 [374] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -21.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001164%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Serge Ibaka0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.011055%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Perry Jones0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.0100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Steven Adams-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.001-0.02250%-0.00
Andre Roberson-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01050%-0.001-0.01250%-0.01
Kevin Durant-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.012051%0.064-0.08771%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.0400%-0.002-0.0220%-0.00
Dion Waiters-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.10-0.00-0.06920%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Anthony Morrow-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.000.011232%-0.0600.001100%0.00
Nick Collison-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.01-0.03233%0.005-0.102100%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.29-0.02-0.101923%-0.097-0.13580%-0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darren Collison0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.070.02-0.091962%0.193-0.021100%0.00
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.02683%0.0600.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.100.000.091961%0.032-0.02887%0.01
Ryan Hollins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02440%-0.001-0.01250%-0.01
Ray McCallum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.05520%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Ben McLemore0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.05961%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.17-0.00-0.142339%0.026-0.061385%0.02
Nik Stauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02320%-0.041-0.01450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.71.728.615.425.62.430.5132.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +8.5%
SAC +10.4%
SAC +3.8%
SAC +26.0%
SAC +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSACNBAOKCSACNBA
this game12.514.715.177.699.0104.2
season14.514.9105.7103.7
opponent14.815.0107.6103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.111.412.611.812.5
SAC13.613.915.715.914.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Jackson49460.04-0.540.58-0.115-263112.212.6-0.3914.814.70.09
Jeremy Lamb880.00-0.500.500.06-2-191712.412.5-0.0913.614.8-1.20
Ish Smith880.00-0.500.500.06-2-191712.412.5-0.0913.614.8-1.20
Dion Waiters5151-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-232511.013.8-2.7914.614.8-0.17
Perry Jones3935-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-15912.312.5-0.2013.715.2-1.53
Kendrick Perkins3130-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-15911.412.9-1.5114.414.9-0.42
Steven Adams3031-0.19-0.310.120.04-8-13514.111.82.2815.214.50.70
Andre Roberson1817-0.24-0.260.010.14-13-8-514.712.02.6615.414.60.81
Anthony Morrow5756-0.30-0.20-0.090.06-12-9-312.512.40.0715.214.20.99
Serge Ibaka7372-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.07-8-13512.612.10.5414.914.30.63
Nick Collison3737-0.31-0.19-0.120.13-15-6-913.412.01.4113.815.2-1.38
Kevin Durant7372-0.38-0.12-0.270.12-17-4-1312.312.8-0.4914.714.70.05
Russell Westbrook6162-0.540.04-0.590.13-232-2512.412.5-0.0715.214.01.16

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben McLemore75760.56-0.060.62-0.2628-73514.714.70.0512.711.90.83
Darren Collison82850.56-0.060.62-0.1725-42915.013.71.3812.611.80.86
Rudy Gay77800.500.000.49-0.2927-63314.515.2-0.7012.113.6-1.47
DeMarcus Cousins82840.430.070.37-0.101831514.914.00.8812.512.10.42
Jason Thompson36370.420.080.34-0.162011914.914.70.1913.412.01.37
Carl Landry41410.110.39-0.27-0.00417-1314.115.1-1.0412.612.40.21
Ryan Hollins16150.040.46-0.420.07-122-2314.114.8-0.7213.112.30.79
Derrick Williams5960-0.000.50-0.500.20-728-3515.413.91.4211.913.2-1.35
Ray McCallum3434-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-122-2314.814.70.0511.812.8-0.97
Nik Stauskas2323-0.070.57-0.650.16-829-3713.315.1-1.8912.412.5-0.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 102, MIA 1250.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
PHI 81, DET 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
DEN 65, PHX 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%