inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 102 Excitement2.8 [1228] MVPTiago Splitter (SAS): +9.4%
San Antonio Spurs 130 Comeback1.0 [1307] LVPDeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -10.0%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.000.031262%0.061-0.025100%0.01
Charles Hayes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02389%0.041-0.00367%-0.00
Patrick Patterson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06933%0.0010.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05570%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Toney Douglas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.00-0.07520%0.002-0.0100%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tyreke Evans-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01762%0.054-0.072100%0.01
Marcus Thornton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.18-0.000.201376%-0.011-0.017100%0.01
Jimmer Fredette-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.03333%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
John Salmons-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.03721%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins-0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.01945%-0.014-0.09250%-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.000.01878%0.0900.002100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00778%0.092-0.034100%0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.073112%0.0300.002100%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.061267%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05965%0.021-0.012100%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00975%0.095-0.072100%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.01753%0.021-0.01333%-0.02
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.090.000.08786%0.0010.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.000.03862%0.032-0.03560%-0.01
Nando De Colo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.070.00-0.0530%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.021057%0.045-0.083100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.428.315.527.41.724.0123.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +33.5%
SAC -1.7%
SAS +9.8%
SAS +6.2%
SAS +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACSASNBASACSASNBA
this game14.013.115.497.1120.4104.1
season15.015.2104.7106.4
opponent15.115.299.5109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.713.014.212.914.0
SAS11.513.211.516.413.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Outlaw16170.00-0.500.50-0.031-293011.414.4-2.9916.612.44.16
Jimmer Fredette4243-0.05-0.450.410.25-10-18813.514.3-0.7114.012.51.45
Charles Hayes2829-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-231816.513.03.5013.013.1-0.16
James Johnson1212-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-231816.613.62.9512.913.1-0.19
Toney Douglas4142-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-221614.813.51.2914.712.02.71
Patrick Patterson5556-0.16-0.340.180.25-14-14014.013.90.0613.512.70.83
Marcus Thornton7072-0.24-0.260.010.20-15-13-213.814.4-0.6413.612.01.58
John Salmons4951-0.32-0.18-0.130.10-14-14013.714.2-0.5611.814.2-2.39
Tyreke Evans5153-0.32-0.18-0.150.06-13-15213.714.2-0.5212.413.7-1.31
Jason Thompson5859-0.33-0.17-0.160.31-22-6-1614.013.90.1012.214.2-1.98
Isaiah Thomas5658-0.34-0.16-0.180.28-21-7-1413.314.7-1.4312.114.3-2.23
DeMarcus Cousins4748-0.37-0.13-0.250.09-16-12-414.014.0-0.0312.913.2-0.34

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard66670.54-0.040.58-0.3129-13012.214.5-2.2414.812.62.22
Tony Parker60570.420.080.34-0.172081212.214.1-1.8714.113.90.18
Tim Duncan57560.400.100.29-0.342532212.413.9-1.5514.813.11.71
Tiago Splitter52490.400.100.29-0.161991012.513.6-1.1614.513.50.93
Manu Ginobili52500.290.210.08-0.271991012.613.5-0.9014.713.31.35
Danny Green57550.250.250.00-0.191513212.014.3-2.2213.914.0-0.13
Matt Bonner51490.190.31-0.12-0.08919-1013.712.51.2513.814.1-0.25
Cory Joseph23260.070.43-0.37-0.08523-1812.613.2-0.6013.014.3-1.29
DeJuan Blair52520.040.46-0.41-0.13622-1613.912.41.5113.414.6-1.20
Patty Mills30280.010.49-0.49-0.02127-2615.512.23.3013.614.1-0.45
Aron Baynes13120.000.50-0.500.03-129-3016.512.63.9311.814.2-2.41
Nando De Colo2724-0.100.60-0.700.11-735-4216.212.04.1911.414.7-3.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 109, NYK 1310.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
GSW 91, POR 1090.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
VAN 88, SAC 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%