NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	2.4 [1266]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +19.1%
New York Knicks	131		Comeback	1.1 [1142]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -7.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.17	0.00	0.12	26	65%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.04	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	5	100%	0.04	4	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	9	37%	0.01	4	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Devin Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	7	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	14	37%	-0.07	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.27	0.00	0.08	16	89%	0.21	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.00	0.06	9	91%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.23	0.00	0.11	15	84%	0.16	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Landry Fields	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	54%	0.02	1	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andy Rautins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	6	64%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	7	14%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	31.1	15.5	27.5	2.5	27.5	130.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.1%

NYK +11.1%

UTA -3.8%

NYK +9.8%

UTA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	15.5	110.1	133.7	105.7
season	15.9	14.3		106.4	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		108.4	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.9	14.4	15.7	12.8	15.2
NYK	14.0	15.0	12.0	15.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-28	34	12.8	16.0	-3.20	15.4	13.6	1.83
Raja Bell	42	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-18	14	14.0	16.0	-2.08	15.0	13.4	1.61
Derrick Favors	48	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-28	34	15.1	15.2	-0.01	14.8	13.3	1.59
CJ Miles	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-13	4	14.9	15.4	-0.48	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Earl Watson	51	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-26	30	13.8	16.6	-2.86	15.0	13.0	2.00
Gordon Hayward	59	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-26	30	13.9	17.0	-3.06	14.0	14.1	-0.08
Devin Harris	48	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.40	-26	4	-30	16.6	13.8	2.86	13.0	15.0	-2.00
Andrei Kirilenko	24	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	-3	-16	16.4	14.7	1.67	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Paul Millsap	49	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	1	-24	15.3	15.0	0.39	14.8	13.4	1.44
Al Jefferson	69	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.50	-33	11	-44	16.5	12.1	4.38	12.5	17.2	-4.72

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	61	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.41	30	-8	38	13.1	15.8	-2.69	16.0	13.7	2.20
Jared Jeffries	46	48	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.33	27	-5	32	14.3	13.9	0.42	15.7	14.7	1.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	47	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.36	28	-6	34	14.5	13.7	0.78	15.5	14.8	0.78
Landry Fields	44	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.33	26	-4	30	14.5	13.8	0.68	15.1	15.2	-0.01
Toney Douglas	45	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.34	24	-2	26	14.4	13.8	0.59	16.1	14.2	1.93
Anthony Carter	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	18	-14	13.8	14.3	-0.48	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Roger Mason Jr.	54	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	26	-30	13.8	14.5	-0.68	15.2	15.1	0.01
Shawne Williams	45	43	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	25	-28	14.2	14.0	0.26	15.9	14.6	1.29
Shelden Williams	52	51	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	27	-32	13.9	14.3	-0.42	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Derrick Brown	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	28	-34	15.4	13.6	1.83	12.8	16.0	-3.20
Andy Rautins	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	28	-34	13.8	14.1	-0.27	11.9	15.6	-3.68
Renaldo Balkman	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	27	-32	14.2	14.1	0.11	12.7	15.7	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 77, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
VAN 88, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 112, IND 136	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%