NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	112		Excitement	2.5 [1264]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +10.5%
Indiana Pacers	136		Comeback	1.0 [1291]		LVP	Maurice Evans (WAS): -7.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	19	51%	0.07	2	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	23	52%	0.06	2	-0.02	10	100%	0.03
Othyus Jeffers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	59%	0.04	1	-0.00	12	58%	-0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Larry Owens	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	90%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mustafa Shakur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	58%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	14	61%	0.00	6	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.06	15	77%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	6	82%	0.09	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.05	8	80%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.18	0.00	0.12	11	81%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	65%	0.07	6	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.0	27.1	16.4	28.5	2.5	32.2	135.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.3%

WAS -3.5%

IND +3.1%

IND +3.4%

IND +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	13.6	13.7	15.5	105.7	129.5	105.7
season	15.1	14.7		100.9	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	13.0	13.4	14.4	13.6
IND	12.1	14.2	14.3	14.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mustafa Shakur	23	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-22	20	14.8	13.3	1.52	15.6	13.2	2.39
Kevin Seraphin	40	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-20	16	13.3	13.8	-0.47	14.2	13.4	0.84
Larry Owens	37	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-19	14	12.9	14.0	-1.04	15.2	12.9	2.31
Yi Jianlian	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-19	14	13.4	13.9	-0.53	13.5	13.9	-0.39
JaVale McGee	19	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-12	0	16.0	13.1	2.93	13.9	13.6	0.30
Othyus Jeffers	74	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-22	20	13.2	14.4	-1.16	14.0	13.1	0.94
John Wall	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-7	-10	13.6	13.6	-0.04	12.9	15.0	-2.04
Maurice Evans	52	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.32	-25	1	-26	13.3	13.9	-0.60	13.6	13.8	-0.17
Jordan Crawford	88	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.23	-24	0	-24	13.6	13.7	-0.09	13.2	16.4	-3.16
Andray Blatche	76	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.20	-24	0	-24	13.9	12.9	1.01	13.3	14.7	-1.46

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	-4	32	13.3	14.2	-0.87	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Darren Collison	63	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.22	23	1	22	13.5	14.0	-0.45	13.2	14.1	-0.87
Roy Hibbert	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.38	28	-4	32	13.6	13.9	-0.34	13.8	13.3	0.57
Paul George	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.29	25	-1	26	13.7	13.7	0.04	13.2	14.1	-0.86
Tyler Hansbrough	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.15	18	6	12	13.7	13.7	0.03	13.1	14.3	-1.21
Josh McRoberts	51	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	19	-14	13.7	13.7	-0.07	13.9	13.3	0.54
Mike Dunleavy	47	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	25	-26	13.7	13.7	-0.04	14.1	13.2	0.86
Jeff Foster	17	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	24	-24	12.6	13.9	-1.33	13.7	13.6	0.15
A.J. Price	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	23	-22	14.0	13.5	0.45	14.1	13.2	0.87
Brandon Rush	30	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	26	-28	13.5	13.8	-0.29	14.3	13.3	0.94
Dahntay Jones	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	15.1	13.4	1.79	13.6	13.6	0.01
James Posey	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	15.1	13.4	1.79	13.6	13.6	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 78, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIN 77, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
POR 89, SAS 124	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%