NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	7.4 [408]		MVP	Jonathan Isaac (ORL): +16.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	1.9 [752]		LVP	Adem Bona (PHI): -5.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Isaac	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	8	87%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	23	62%	0.27	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.06
Anthony Black	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.12	-0.02	0.14	-0.00	10	50%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	4	20%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jalen Suggs	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	53%	0.12	4	-0.12	2	50%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0	-0.02	0.02	0.01	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Moritz Wagner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	43%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.01	8	83%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jared McCain	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	17	65%	0.17	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.04
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.06	-0.02	19	40%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.05
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	27.5	14.8	26.2	2.3	42.5	143.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.1%

ORL +4.7%

ORL +10.4%

ORL +0.9%

ORL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	15.9	14.4	119.1	113.3	113.0
season	15.4	15.0		108.3	110.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		116.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.3	17.6	16.3	17.1	16.3
PHI	17.0	17.6	15.0	14.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Black	57	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-5	14	16.4	16.1	0.27	15.0	17.5	-2.58
Tristan da Silva	31	33	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-11	26	15.0	17.0	-2.00	15.5	16.2	-0.67
Moritz Wagner	39	38	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-9	22	17.1	15.7	1.39	16.3	15.6	0.70
Franz Wagner	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	3	-2	16.0	17.1	-1.14	15.6	16.9	-1.26
Jonathan Isaac	28	28	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	-4	12	16.1	16.3	-0.19	15.7	16.0	-0.23
Goga Bitadze	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	3	-2	15.8	16.6	-0.83	17.6	14.7	2.89
Jalen Suggs	68	71	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.34	-10	14	-24	16.2	16.3	-0.08	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	60	60	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.31	-10	14	-24	16.4	16.0	0.45	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Wendell Carter Jr.	56	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.15	-7	11	-18	16.9	15.2	1.73	16.8	14.3	2.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	11	10	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-10	16	16.4	15.8	0.52	20.4	15.7	4.65
Guerschon Yabusele	70	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.41	10	-14	24	15.1	18.6	-3.46	17.0	13.5	3.49
Kelly Oubre Jr.	67	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.43	8	-12	20	14.9	19.0	-4.09	16.7	15.0	1.69
Jared McCain	74	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-10	16	15.7	16.7	-1.02	16.4	15.9	0.48
KJ Martin	56	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	2	-8	16.2	15.4	0.90	15.4	17.5	-2.11
Adem Bona	24	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	8	-20	19.3	14.7	4.67	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Tyrese Maxey	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	1	-6	15.7	16.8	-1.15	16.0	17.5	-1.48
Caleb Martin	40	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	9	-22	18.1	14.2	3.94	16.1	16.4	-0.36
Ricky Council IV	36	37	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	10	-24	14.8	16.6	-1.84	15.4	16.9	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	92.0%
MIA 97, TOR 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.9%
SAS 93, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0	91.9%