NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	108		Excitement	7.0 [185]		MVP	Cam Thomas (BKN): +29.3%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	2.5 [92]		LVP	Ziaire Williams (BKN): -10.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.29	0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.14	-0.00	22	62%	0.31	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.01
Noah Clowney	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	9	82%	0.21	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	11	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Keon Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ziaire Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	30%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.11	0.01	14	58%	0.19	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.16	-0.07	0.06	16	70%	0.13	2	-0.09	12	67%	-0.04
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	82%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	18	43%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.03
Colby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	35.4	14.6	28.1	0.8	33.2	142.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +56.3%

SAC -0.7%

SAC -12.7%

BKN +8.8%

SAC -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	SAC	NBA	BKN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	14.3	113.7	107.3	112.0
season	15.4	13.8		110.8	114.1
opponent	14.9	14.2		113.2	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	18.0	13.4	14.8	16.0	15.4
SAC	14.9	14.3	13.5	16.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Thomas	70	73	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	1	3	15.5	15.1	0.38	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Jalen Wilson	64	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	1	3	15.6	15.0	0.59	15.0	14.2	0.84
Shake Milton	39	38	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-5	15	15.8	15.1	0.76	15.6	14.2	1.35
Cameron Johnson	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	-1	7	15.1	16.2	-1.14	14.7	14.9	-0.13
Noah Clowney	43	44	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	-8	21	14.9	15.8	-0.99	15.0	14.6	0.36
Ben Simmons	56	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	1	3	15.4	15.4	-0.06	14.5	15.1	-0.55
Nic Claxton	45	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	8	-11	15.8	15.0	0.76	14.9	14.6	0.25
Keon Johnson	19	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	2	1	14.9	15.5	-0.57	15.0	14.7	0.30
Ziaire Williams	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	11	-17	15.1	15.6	-0.46	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Trendon Watford	28	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	15	-25	15.8	15.2	0.55	14.1	15.0	-0.89

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-4	3	14.3	14.8	-0.46	22.8	14.9	7.93
Keegan Murray	72	71	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-13	21	14.3	16.0	-1.71	15.8	14.1	1.76
Trey Lyles	38	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	1	-7	14.3	15.0	-0.69	15.8	15.1	0.70
De'Aaron Fox	76	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.29	5	-10	15	14.2	16.8	-2.58	15.7	14.3	1.42
Keon Ellis	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	1	-7	15.7	14.1	1.61	15.9	15.0	0.90
DeMar DeRozan	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-5	5	15.2	13.6	1.57	15.3	15.8	-0.58
Kevin Huerter	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	14.4	15.7	-1.36	14.2	18.3	-4.05
Domantas Sabonis	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-3	1	15.1	13.8	1.36	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Colby Jones	35	35	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	11	-27	15.9	14.1	1.73	14.5	15.9	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.42,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 132, MIN 122	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.26,0.35,0.17,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	92.5%
BOS 111, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.32,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.31,0.29,0.06,0.17,0	92.4%
MIL 114, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	92.2%