NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	132		Excitement	6.6 [542]		MVP	Seth Curry (POR): +24.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	122		Comeback	2.9 [530]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -17.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.10	-0.04	14	68%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	5	108%	0.21	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jake Layman	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	6	61%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	10	71%	0.16	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Rodney Hood	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	14	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	9	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	4	112%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	17	43%	-0.01	5	-0.15	1	0%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.08	0.03	8	90%	0.24	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	8	76%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cameron Reynolds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	43%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	21	37%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.7	25.4	15.3	27.7	2.5	23.5	119.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +45.9%

POR +4.2%

POR +9.6%

MIN -10.1%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	12.9	14.3	129.4	120.8	109.3
season	14.9	14.4		112.6	110.2
opponent	14.0	13.9		111.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	14.0	16.2	16.1	15.5
MIN	13.9	14.2	10.8	12.7	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	46	46	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-4	18	15.9	15.1	0.81	12.2	13.4	-1.20
Evan Turner	52	51	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-5	20	16.1	14.8	1.28	12.8	12.9	-0.10
Zach Collins	56	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-2	14	15.6	15.3	0.34	13.2	12.6	0.59
Jake Layman	30	29	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	3	4	15.7	15.4	0.32	13.7	12.6	1.17
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	4	2	15.4	15.6	-0.21	12.6	13.4	-0.77
Enes Kanter	55	55	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	8	-6	14.6	16.5	-1.89	13.4	12.3	1.04
Damian Lillard	72	72	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	7	-4	15.4	15.7	-0.32	12.6	13.7	-1.17
Maurice Harkless	45	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	15	-20	15.2	15.7	-0.44	13.1	12.7	0.36
Meyers Leonard	28	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	13	-16	17.0	14.9	2.06	12.9	12.9	0.05
Rodney Hood	62	62	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.12	-1	11	-12	14.8	16.4	-1.61	12.9	12.9	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	70	70	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-13	16	12.5	13.7	-1.13	15.5	15.3	0.23
Cameron Reynolds	41	42	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-10	10	12.4	13.2	-0.76	17.0	14.4	2.68
Dario Saric	59	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-10	10	12.7	13.1	-0.39	15.5	15.4	0.13
Gorgui Dieng	35	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-6	2	13.5	12.6	0.87	15.8	15.3	0.42
Keita Bates-Diop	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-4	-2	13.6	12.6	0.91	16.0	15.3	0.76
Josh Okogie	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	12.9	12.9	-0.01	14.3	17.2	-2.93
Karl-Anthony Towns	66	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-4	-2	12.6	13.5	-0.87	15.3	15.8	-0.42
Anthony Tolliver	41	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	0	-10	13.4	12.5	0.88	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Andrew Wiggins	72	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	-4	-2	12.7	13.3	-0.54	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Jerryd Bayless	31	32	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.20	-13	3	-16	13.7	12.5	1.13	15.3	15.5	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.26,0.35,0.17,0.05,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.01,0,0	91.5%
OKC 102, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.11,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	90.9%
MEM 107, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.3,0.2,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	90.8%