inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 111 Excitement8.5 [212] MVPTrey Lyles (DEN): +30.3%
Denver Nuggets 110 Comeback2.9 [371] LVPWill Barton (DEN): -25.0%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jayson Tatum0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.140.110.001371%0.2400.002100%0.01
Jaylen Brown0.240,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.24-0.030.26-0.011141%0.251-0.0200%0.00
Kyrie Irving0.200,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.24,0.20.150.070.011773%0.262-0.063100%0.03
Terry Rozier0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.000.12-0.01850%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Semi Ojeleye0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.013100%0.1000.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.02867%0.142-0.05560%-0.00
Daniel Theis0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.02-0.00961%0.0900.0000%0.00
Al Horford0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.060.001242%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.011030%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.30.300.160.150.001083%0.321-0.02450%-0.03
Jamal Murray0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.280.280.020.26-0.001156%0.342-0.063100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.070.100.011759%0.202-0.04786%0.04
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.020.001067%0.111-0.02450%-0.07
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.01-0.02714%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.060.001644%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.240.011851%-0.212-0.041100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.827.312.623.81.633.0125.8
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +70.2%
DEN -6.4%
DEN -5.4%
DEN -10.0%
BOS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDENNBABOSDENNBA
this game16.314.614.7120.7117.0107.5
season15.114.7106.4111.2
opponent14.714.7109.9103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.715.216.917.616.3
DEN14.316.112.416.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyrie Irving69730.67-0.170.840.73-23-516.815.01.8414.315.9-1.56
Daniel Theis40400.57-0.070.650.1016-153115.117.3-2.1416.313.42.87
Jayson Tatum60640.53-0.030.570.2410-91916.016.9-0.8215.313.32.03
Terry Rozier58580.330.170.170.3301-116.316.4-0.0714.415.1-0.75
Al Horford62620.280.220.060.60-1112-2317.214.62.6314.215.4-1.20
Semi Ojeleye34310.220.28-0.050.085-4915.017.1-2.0715.714.11.63
Marcus Morris38400.030.47-0.44-0.125-4915.217.1-1.9615.514.01.48
Jaylen Brown6466-0.040.54-0.570.34-1314-2717.214.52.6914.016.3-2.33
Aron Baynes3536-0.110.61-0.710.04-56-1116.916.00.8412.915.7-2.81

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic67690.05-0.550.60-0.2410-112113.717.1-3.4517.213.63.64
Mason Plumlee5655-0.02-0.480.46-0.206-71314.714.60.1616.316.4-0.16
Kenneth Faried1110-0.07-0.430.350.04-43-716.214.41.7413.916.6-2.73
Emmanuel Mudiay2421-0.18-0.320.130.08-98-1716.614.02.6513.517.2-3.71
Gary Harris7171-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.466-71313.717.4-3.6917.113.83.34
Jamal Murray7475-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.578-91714.216.1-1.9117.212.64.60
Will Barton8482-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.556-71314.813.51.2916.416.00.38
Torrey Craig3027-0.530.03-0.57-0.12-1413-2715.514.31.2014.117.3-3.20
Trey Lyles5350-0.750.25-1.00-0.34-1413-2715.713.32.4515.617.2-1.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.32,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.31,0.29,0.06,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 112, MEM 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.39,0.48,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.01,091.2%
GSW 102, NOP 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.39,0.16,0.23,0.17,091.1%
DAL 109, NOP 1040.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.05,091.0%