NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	7.1 [383]		MVP	Brandan Wright (DAL): +22.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	104		Comeback	2.7 [445]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -27.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.12	-0.00	7	86%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.02	7	67%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Chandler Parsons	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	13	67%	0.18	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	14	55%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	7	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Jose Juan Barea	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	19	42%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	21	53%	0.13	1	-0.03	16	81%	0.05
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	19	62%	0.18	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	19	54%	0.17	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.07	1	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Jimmer Fredette	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.18	-0.10	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	26.5	15.6	28.1	2.4	34.5	133.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +56.0%

NOP -16.9%

NOP -15.5%

DAL +22.3%

DAL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.1	111.2	106.1	104.2
season	14.6	15.8		107.6	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		106.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.9	16.4	16.9	13.8	14.7
NOP	15.2	15.6	13.1	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	25	27	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-8	21	15.2	14.5	0.68	17.7	13.6	4.05
Dirk Nowitzki	60	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-9	23	15.3	13.6	1.80	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Brandan Wright	36	37	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-4	13	15.5	14.1	1.38	14.9	14.6	0.25
Al-Farouq Aminu	34	33	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.21	3	2	1	13.6	15.2	-1.68	16.0	14.1	1.91
Richard Jefferson	17	15	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	1	3	13.6	14.9	-1.22	12.3	15.2	-2.84
Monta Ellis	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	5	-5	14.8	14.3	0.58	14.0	16.4	-2.42
Jameer Nelson	66	63	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	6	-7	14.3	15.3	-0.98	14.2	15.8	-1.61
Tyson Chandler	62	61	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	9	-13	14.1	15.5	-1.38	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Devin Harris	55	56	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	11	-17	14.8	14.4	0.38	15.0	14.3	0.70
Chandler Parsons	68	70	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	12	-19	14.6	14.7	-0.02	14.6	15.1	-0.57

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	76	77	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.29	9	-14	23	13.9	17.5	-3.57	14.7	14.6	0.04
Jrue Holiday	76	78	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.26	7	-12	19	14.0	17.4	-3.45	14.4	15.7	-1.32
Jimmer Fredette	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	0	-5	17.1	14.5	2.59	16.5	14.5	1.97
John Salmons	10	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	3	-11	16.7	14.5	2.19	13.5	14.8	-1.28
Austin Rivers	37	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	0	-5	15.8	14.1	1.64	15.0	14.5	0.54
Anthony Davis	88	89	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-8	11	14.8	14.4	0.37	14.5	15.8	-1.24
Omer Asik	66	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	7	-19	15.3	13.6	1.69	14.7	14.5	0.25
Eric Gordon	71	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	3	-11	14.9	14.3	0.66	14.9	13.9	1.01
Ryan Anderson	59	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	1	-7	14.6	14.9	-0.31	14.5	14.8	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 114, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
WAS 102, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.71,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.07,0.02,0,0	91.8%
DAL 114, GSW 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.18,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.1,0	91.2%