NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	8.6 [170]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +30.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	101		Comeback	1.7 [631]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -36.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	12	54%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.01	14	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.06
Marreese Speights	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	6	44%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	18	52%	0.17	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	12	75%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Nedovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	20	40%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.3	0.30	0.09	0.22	0.01	9	70%	0.32	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.10	0.00	16	53%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	17	58%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	11	48%	0.01	4	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.37	-0.37	0.00	-0.36	0.01	12	57%	-0.28	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.4	27.2	14.8	25.1	2.5	28.4	126.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +16.8%

GSW +2.7%

GSW +11.8%

GSW +18.5%

GSW +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOP	NBA	GSW	NOP	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.1	108.5	107.4	105.2
season	14.2	15.5		105.9	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		108.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	16.2	15.4	16.4	15.2
NOP	16.5	14.5	15.2	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	82	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.53	-2	3	-5	15.7	11.6	4.14	15.4	15.9	-0.55
Nemanja Nedovic	26	26	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	-7	15	13.9	15.7	-1.75	15.1	15.6	-0.46
Jermaine O'Neal	46	47	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.46	-4	5	-9	16.9	13.6	3.33	17.0	13.9	3.02
Draymond Green	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	-11	23	13.5	17.2	-3.70	14.3	16.8	-2.56
Klay Thompson	84	83	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	4	-7	15.3	14.1	1.22	15.8	12.6	3.18
David Lee	74	75	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.41	-4	5	-9	15.6	13.5	2.15	15.6	14.9	0.63
Harrison Barnes	75	77	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.44	-7	8	-15	15.3	14.7	0.64	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Marreese Speights	25	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	0	1	13.8	15.7	-1.84	14.4	15.8	-1.38
Kent Bazemore	6	6	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	-3	7	11.3	15.5	-4.12	15.5	15.4	0.06

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	49	48	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.04	9	-10	19	15.5	15.4	0.13	15.7	14.6	1.10
Jason Smith	51	49	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-6	11	15.4	15.5	-0.16	16.1	14.2	1.90
Eric Gordon	69	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.36	11	-12	23	15.5	15.2	0.28	15.7	13.9	1.81
Lou Amundson	7	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	4	-9	14.9	15.5	-0.64	10.5	15.6	-5.13
Brian Roberts	22	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	7	-15	15.9	15.3	0.54	13.0	15.9	-2.90
Anthony Davis	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-7	13	16.0	14.5	1.49	15.7	14.4	1.26
Jrue Holiday	72	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.47	7	-8	15	15.3	15.9	-0.54	15.9	13.0	2.90
Anthony Morrow	25	26	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	11	-23	15.2	15.5	-0.28	13.9	15.7	-1.81
Ryan Anderson	73	73	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.44	-8	7	-15	15.1	16.7	-1.57	14.7	16.9	-2.14
Tyreke Evans	45	46	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.43	-10	9	-19	15.4	15.5	-0.13	14.6	15.7	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.39,0.16,0.23,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.5%
DET 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.04,0	91.2%
NJN 99, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.17,0	91.1%