NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	95		Excitement	7.3 [382]		MVP	Maurice Evans (DET): +22.4%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	1.4 [478]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): -19.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.09	-0.00	8	83%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	0.00	10	80%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	6	62%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.08	0.04	14	46%	0.07	1	-0.04	9	89%	-0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Tayshaun Prince	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	13	42%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	13	11%	-0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.07	-0.03	10	68%	0.25	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	10	59%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.01	9	56%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	0.00	20	50%	0.09	5	-0.14	8	87%	0.11
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.4	15.4	33.5	2.4	29.6	135.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +14.4%

CHI -9.2%

DET +2.1%

DET +35.4%

DET +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	17.6	13.8	15.6	104.4	93.5	104.4
season	16.9	14.4		108.3	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.8		102.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.6	15.7	17.2	20.0	17.6
CHI	13.2	13.7	14.1	14.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	36	34	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.16	14	-6	20	18.2	17.1	1.05	13.4	14.0	-0.68
Rasheed Wallace	62	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	6	-4	17.9	16.9	0.97	13.0	15.3	-2.29
Ben Wallace	81	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	5	-2	17.8	15.5	2.31	13.8	13.6	0.17
Lindsey Hunter	28	29	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	-4	16	16.1	18.2	-2.10	14.6	13.4	1.11
Antonio McDyess	38	40	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	-5	18	16.9	18.0	-1.10	14.7	13.1	1.69
Carlos Delfino	23	24	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	1	6	18.2	17.3	0.88	15.1	13.3	1.81
Tayshaun Prince	72	74	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	7	-6	17.4	18.1	-0.69	13.8	13.6	0.26
Chauncey Billups	72	73	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.29	-4	12	-16	17.9	16.4	1.51	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Richard Hamilton	43	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	16	-24	17.0	18.1	-1.11	13.0	14.5	-1.47

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	9	9	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-12	16	16.2	13.5	2.70	14.3	17.9	-3.58
Eric Piatkowski	11	12	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-12	16	15.5	13.6	1.89	15.7	17.8	-2.18
Malik Allen	32	30	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-11	14	14.7	13.3	1.47	16.9	17.9	-0.99
Othella Harrington	12	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-9	10	11.9	14.1	-2.15	16.0	17.8	-1.78
Jannero Pargo	18	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-6	4	14.0	13.7	0.27	14.4	18.2	-3.78
Luol Deng	71	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-12	16	13.8	13.7	0.08	16.6	20.3	-3.73
Kirk Hinrich	55	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-7	6	13.2	14.6	-1.39	18.2	16.5	1.79
Andres Nocioni	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	1	-10	13.9	13.6	0.29	17.7	17.3	0.40
Chris Duhon	44	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	5	-18	14.4	13.2	1.18	18.4	16.8	1.63
Ben Gordon	68	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	0	-8	13.4	14.9	-1.50	18.2	15.8	2.35
Tyson Chandler	58	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	1	-10	12.9	15.3	-2.41	18.1	16.7	1.40
Darius Songaila	37	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	6	-20	14.4	13.4	1.03	18.8	16.7	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 109, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.49,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.07,0.15,0.03,0,0	93.0%
GSW 103, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.16,0	92.8%
SEA 103, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	92.8%