NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	10.4 [29]		MVP	Chris Gatling (NJN): +17.2%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	5.0 [99]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -14.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.17	-0.02	0.19	-0.00	6	46%	0.22	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	16	61%	0.18	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	67%	0.13	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
Damon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	6	56%	-0.03	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14	-0.12	-0.00	0.01	23	40%	-0.03	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.13

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	21	48%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	16	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	15	48%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	-0.00	4	67%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.18
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.01	16	56%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	26.2	14.7	23.5	1.8	40.3	132.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +34.6%

BOS -1.1%

NJN +26.6%

BOS -11.8%

NJN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	13.9	15.8	96.1	97.0	99.6
season	15.0	15.0		96.5	98.1
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.0	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.2	15.3	13.3	17.8	14.5
BOS	13.5	15.3	13.9	13.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	88	84	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.53	6	-4	10	13.9	17.5	-3.52	13.7	14.9	-1.15
Keith Van Horn	81	77	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.55	5	-3	8	14.8	13.4	1.39	13.5	15.4	-1.98
Eric Murdock	77	73	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.56	3	-1	4	14.9	13.3	1.59	13.5	14.9	-1.34
Chris Gatling	24	25	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	2	-2	13.4	14.8	-1.41	14.6	13.7	0.97
Scott Burrell	29	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	0	2	14.4	14.5	-0.01	15.9	13.1	2.75
Kerry Kittles	92	89	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	6	-10	14.7	12.8	1.83	13.4	17.9	-4.49
Jim McIlvaine	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	0	2	13.0	15.0	-2.00	15.4	13.4	1.99
Jayson Williams	75	72	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.00	-3	5	-8	15.0	13.0	2.00	13.6	14.7	-1.07
Damon Jones	23	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.14	-1	3	-4	14.3	14.5	-0.20	15.1	13.5	1.58

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	13	13	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-4	6	13.2	14.0	-0.78	16.1	14.2	1.85
Eric Riley	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-1	0	15.3	13.8	1.48	13.1	14.6	-1.41
Walter McCarty	13	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	1	-4	12.0	14.2	-2.20	12.5	14.7	-2.19
Ron Mercer	82	84	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	13.9	13.8	0.09	14.6	13.9	0.62
Andrew DeClercq	29	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	2	-6	13.9	13.9	-0.07	14.1	14.6	-0.56
Dana Barros	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	6	-14	14.9	13.6	1.35	12.7	15.1	-2.41
Kenny Anderson	75	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-8	14	13.6	14.9	-1.35	15.1	12.7	2.41
Bruce Bowen	22	23	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-4	6	13.4	14.1	-0.70	14.9	14.3	0.53
Tony Battie	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-2	2	14.2	13.0	1.20	14.1	15.4	-1.28
Paul Pierce	83	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	14.3	11.8	2.51	14.5	14.1	0.41
Antoine Walker	78	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	-1	0	13.6	15.0	-1.34	14.8	13.2	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 97, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.48,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.02,0	93.1%
MIN 98, SEA 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.04,0	93.0%
DEN 116, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.25,0.21,0.06,0.16,0	92.7%