NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	4.7 [878]		MVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): +16.2%
Houston Rockets	130		Comeback	1.3 [985]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (HOU): -15.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quenton Jackson	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.21	0.01	0.06	12	86%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	64%	0.11	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Enrique Freeman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	12	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Johnny Furphy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Moses Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	53%	0.03	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Jarace Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	5	31%	-0.01	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.19	0.03	0.06	19	67%	0.16	1	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.03	0.05	13	77%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	46%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	13	45%	-0.00	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	10	18%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.7	31.6	14.6	28.1	2.4	29.3	137.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +15.2%

IND -1.3%

HOU +16.4%

HOU +19.4%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	12.8	12.7	14.4	100.0	115.0	113.0
season	13.9	14.8		114.9	113.9
opponent	14.3	14.7		109.7	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.6	13.1	14.6	11.2	12.8
HOU	13.6	13.1	11.6	12.5	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Furphy	54	52	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-25	33	11.3	14.1	-2.80	12.7	12.7	-0.03
James Johnson	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	8.9	13.3	-4.34	12.2	12.8	-0.59
Moses Brown	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-22	27	9.6	13.4	-3.80	11.7	12.9	-1.22
Enrique Freeman	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-21	25	11.3	13.5	-2.19	12.1	13.0	-0.88
T.J. McConnell	46	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	-11	5	13.0	12.7	0.34	12.0	13.2	-1.24
Jarace Walker	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-13	9	11.7	13.7	-1.95	11.4	13.8	-2.37
Pascal Siakam	67	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-8	-1	13.9	11.2	2.66	14.1	10.6	3.44
Myles Turner	66	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-4	-9	13.3	12.1	1.18	13.3	11.8	1.55
Bennedict Mathurin	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-5	-7	13.9	11.8	2.16	14.1	11.4	2.61
Obi Toppin	32	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	0	-17	13.4	12.6	0.85	10.3	13.7	-3.33
Quenton Jackson	60	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.02	-17	0	-17	13.6	11.9	1.68	13.3	12.0	1.30
Tyrese Haliburton	69	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.19	-28	11	-39	13.5	11.6	1.90	12.4	13.2	-0.80

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	79	80	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.29	30	-13	43	12.5	13.1	-0.61	13.4	11.2	2.24
Jabari Smith Jr.	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-2	21	12.9	12.4	0.51	13.6	11.5	2.12
Tari Eason	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	2	13	11.4	14.0	-2.63	13.2	12.4	0.83
Amen Thompson	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	3	11	10.9	13.8	-2.92	13.3	12.5	0.78
Jalen Green	63	63	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	8	1	13.9	11.2	2.71	13.8	11.5	2.25
Jock Landale	31	30	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	8	1	12.4	12.8	-0.37	13.2	12.7	0.55
Dillon Brooks	47	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	9	-1	14.3	11.5	2.75	13.4	12.3	1.11
Aaron Holiday	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	16	-15	12.7	12.7	0.03	11.9	13.0	-1.03
Alperen Sengun	63	66	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	13	-9	13.2	12.0	1.24	13.0	12.5	0.56
Reed Sheppard	43	42	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	26	-35	12.5	12.8	-0.29	11.0	13.8	-2.78
Jae'Sean Tate	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	12.8	12.7	0.11	8.9	13.3	-4.41
Cam Whitmore	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	12.8	12.7	0.11	8.9	13.3	-4.41
Jeff Green	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	12.2	12.8	-0.59	8.9	13.3	-4.34
Nate Williams	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	10.9	12.8	-1.95	9.1	13.1	-3.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
OKC 78, DAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHI 92, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%