inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 101 Excitement3.6 [1095] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +21.5%
Miami Heat 113 Comeback1.0 [978] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -8.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.160,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.150.030.021374%0.191-0.035100%0.02
Jeff Ayres0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.01-0.00387%0.061-0.02250%-0.00
Boris Diaw0.030,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.011075%0.093-0.0600%0.00
Othyus Jeffers0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.030.02362%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Patty Mills0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.06-0.00-0.07625%0.0110.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03458%-0.0000.00475%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.02350%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.020.05952%-0.011-0.03580%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.010.03643%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Tony Parker-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.030.02955%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.03720%-0.062-0.021100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.220.020.021096%0.251-0.035100%0.03
Ray Allen0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.020.02583%0.0900.002100%0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.000.04889%0.102-0.042100%0.01
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01867%0.0410.002100%0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02480%0.041-0.022100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.011558%0.114-0.101100%0.01
Greg Oden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.02337%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01955%0.013-0.022100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01844%0.002-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.33.530.817.729.33.629.4140.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +36.8%
MIA +3.7%
MIA +10.0%
SAS -0.2%
SAS -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMIANBASASMIANBA
this game16.115.515.1112.2122.8105.2
season15.015.6109.8109.7
opponent15.815.0105.1101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.715.818.013.916.1
MIA14.015.514.718.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner18190.09-0.590.68-0.4117-294612.816.9-4.1118.914.64.30
Othyus Jeffers18190.09-0.590.68-0.4117-294612.816.9-4.1118.914.64.30
Patty Mills32330.01-0.510.520.21-7-5-217.015.71.3115.115.8-0.69
Jeff Ayres2829-0.01-0.490.470.08-3-9617.215.61.5314.616.0-1.43
Nando De Colo2729-0.08-0.420.33-0.111-131414.816.7-1.8716.914.91.94
Aron Baynes2729-0.09-0.410.31-0.338-202814.117.0-2.9318.114.43.70
Cory Joseph5051-0.11-0.390.28-0.296-182415.816.6-0.8115.315.8-0.49
Manu Ginobili4548-0.43-0.07-0.350.19-219-3016.515.70.7815.615.50.11
Marco Belinelli5959-0.45-0.05-0.390.20-2210-3217.114.22.8914.517.4-2.95
Boris Diaw5251-0.48-0.02-0.450.02-175-2216.815.21.6214.816.5-1.72
Tony Parker4646-0.510.01-0.520.02-186-2416.615.61.0014.816.2-1.41
Tim Duncan4847-0.530.03-0.560.08-219-3016.915.31.6114.316.8-2.44

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James53530.56-0.060.62-0.0822-103214.217.4-3.2617.014.92.09
Chris Bosh49480.480.020.450.0415-31814.716.4-1.7117.015.11.97
Ray Allen48490.460.040.42-0.1922-103214.017.2-3.2517.414.62.87
Shane Battier36360.350.150.21-0.1216-42014.316.3-1.9717.915.02.90
Mario Chalmers62620.340.160.180.05102815.615.30.3516.216.00.18
Dwyane Wade47440.200.30-0.100.0366015.715.30.4315.416.8-1.35
Greg Oden24230.140.36-0.230.40-921-3017.514.82.6614.316.7-2.38
Norris Cole53510.040.46-0.430.18-517-2216.214.71.4615.616.8-1.23
Chris Andersen32320.020.48-0.45-0.301111014.915.8-0.9116.316.00.34
Rashard Lewis980.000.50-0.500.21-719-2620.315.05.3211.416.6-5.21
Roger Mason Jr.980.000.50-0.500.21-719-2620.315.05.3211.416.6-5.21
Michael Beasley3836-0.090.59-0.680.32-1426-4017.314.32.9514.717.1-2.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 87, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.9%
MIN 92, OKC 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
SAC 129, NOP 1490.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%