NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	78		Excitement	4.4 [823]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +5.6%
Dallas Mavericks	87		Comeback	1.3 [878]		LVP	Luguentz Dort (OKC): -15.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenrich Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	0.00	0.09	7	93%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	15	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Darius Bazley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	11	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Mike Muscala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Roby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	9	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	9	25%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.02	-0.06	15	53%	0.12	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	14	48%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	11	48%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.6	14.7	25.5	2.4	27.2	125.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.9%

DAL +7.4%

DAL +10.5%

DAL +3.4%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DAL	NBA	OKC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	14.4	82.1	90.6	111.3
season	14.2	15.0		102.4	114.3
opponent	14.4	14.0		112.4	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.1	14.0	16.0	16.9	14.9
DAL	16.9	12.6	14.0	18.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	31	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-12	15	13.4	15.6	-2.21	13.9	15.9	-2.06
Isaiah Roby	46	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-14	19	14.2	15.5	-1.23	14.2	16.3	-2.17
Justin Jackson	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-13	17	17.0	14.5	2.46	15.5	15.2	0.30
Kenrich Williams	42	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-9	9	14.7	15.0	-0.29	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Theo Maledon	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-12	15	14.4	15.7	-1.38	16.5	13.1	3.37
Ty Jerome	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-6	3	15.4	14.2	1.18	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Darius Bazley	53	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-2	-5	15.0	14.7	0.29	16.3	13.9	2.40
Luguentz Dort	50	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	3	-15	15.0	14.7	0.31	15.7	14.9	0.76
Al Horford	56	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	11	-31	15.4	14.1	1.31	15.6	14.8	0.77
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	9	-27	15.1	14.4	0.70	15.2	15.5	-0.33

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	60	61	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	6	-3	14.7	16.2	-1.46	15.3	14.1	1.22
Kristaps Porzingis	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	-7	23	15.2	15.5	-0.29	15.6	13.2	2.40
Maxi Kleber	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	4	1	15.0	15.9	-0.98	14.4	15.8	-1.40
Trey Burke	44	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-4	17	13.5	16.8	-3.33	15.3	14.5	0.87
Dorian Finney-Smith	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	6	-3	15.7	14.2	1.49	15.4	13.5	1.95
Josh Richardson	73	69	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	7	-5	15.5	14.6	0.88	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Jalen Brunson	65	63	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	7	-5	16.6	12.4	4.23	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Wes Iwundu	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	8	-7	15.0	15.3	-0.30	11.6	15.1	-3.46
Dwight Powell	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	10	-11	17.6	15.1	2.56	13.4	15.0	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 74, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAL 90, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NJN 71, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%