NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	4.8 [895]		MVP	Michael Beasley (NYK): +12.7%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	1.3 [984]		LVP	Cameron Payne (CHI): -14.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.03	10	81%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	10	41%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	47%	-0.02	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Antonio Blakeney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	12	52%	-0.01	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Paul Zipser	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	8	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.03	-0.05	12	17%	-0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	10	74%	0.16	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.03	15	65%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	9	46%	0.03	5	-0.04	6	50%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.06	7	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Hicks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	23.5	14.7	30.1	2.3	26.5	123.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.3%

CHI -3.1%

NYK +15.2%

CHI -3.7%

NYK +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	14.3	14.7	89.3	108.9	107.5
season	14.2	14.9		103.2	105.9
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.3	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	14.1	14.2	13.5	14.0
NYK	14.8	14.1	13.5	14.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	43	40	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-22	26	12.8	14.8	-2.01	15.2	13.6	1.61
Antonio Blakeney	56	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-15	12	13.3	14.8	-1.52	15.0	13.5	1.51
Noah Vonleh	57	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-15	12	13.1	15.1	-2.03	14.8	13.6	1.26
Bobby Portis	55	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-19	20	13.7	14.3	-0.66	14.4	14.1	0.33
Justin Holiday	39	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-12	6	14.8	13.5	1.34	13.1	15.0	-2.00
David Nwaba	43	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-12	6	13.2	14.5	-1.33	15.9	13.1	2.78
Denzel Valentine	47	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-5	-8	14.6	13.5	1.09	13.1	15.3	-2.19
Paul Zipser	53	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	3	-24	14.5	13.4	1.09	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Cristiano Felicio	62	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	3	-24	14.8	12.7	2.12	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Cameron Payne	60	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.11	-22	4	-26	14.8	12.8	2.01	13.6	15.2	-1.61

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	0	18	14.0	14.8	-0.80	14.4	13.2	1.16
Courtney Lee	45	45	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	0	18	13.0	15.3	-2.30	14.9	13.2	1.65
Michael Beasley	50	50	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-1	20	13.3	15.2	-1.90	14.5	13.4	1.12
Emmanuel Mudiay	45	44	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	4	10	13.8	14.7	-0.86	15.1	13.1	2.01
Enes Kanter	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	8	2	14.2	14.3	-0.18	15.0	13.4	1.62
Kyle O'Quinn	47	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	13	-8	14.3	14.2	0.08	13.7	14.2	-0.47
Luke Kornet	20	21	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.13	6	12	-6	13.8	14.4	-0.53	12.8	14.3	-1.45
Trey Burke	44	47	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	15	-12	14.6	14.0	0.56	13.3	14.5	-1.14
Frank Ntilikina	50	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	17	-16	15.2	13.4	1.87	13.2	14.7	-1.48
Damyean Dotson	16	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	18	-18	14.9	14.2	0.78	14.6	13.8	0.75
Isaiah Hicks	42	44	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	22	-26	15.4	13.5	1.85	13.8	14.1	-0.21
Troy Williams	43	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	18	-18	15.2	13.6	1.58	11.9	15.5	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, DET 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SAC 90, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHA 103, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	95.6%