NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	104		Excitement	9.3 [43]		MVP	Zach Edey (MEM): +47.0%
Brooklyn Nets	106		Comeback	2.0 [90]		LVP	Cam Thomas (BKN): -25.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Edey	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.47	0.18	0.30	0.01	12	89%	0.53	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	11	62%	0.23	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jay Huff	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	54%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	12	36%	-0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jaylen Wells	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	12	25%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	-0.26	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.19,-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0.02	22	52%	-0.07	3	-0.18	4	100%	0.04

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.07	0.31	-0.01	10	85%	0.52	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.26	0.26	0.03	0.22	-0.00	15	57%	0.32	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.02	-0.00	11	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nic Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.08	-0.04	8	56%	0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	12	46%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.17	-0.01	17	37%	-0.08	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	28.6	15.4	25.4	2.4	34.3	134.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +60.5%

MEM -3.0%

MEM -14.6%

BKN +3.2%

BKN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	BKN	NBA	MEM	BKN	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	14.4	109.5	112.8	112.0
season	13.3	15.3		116.9	112.5
opponent	14.2	14.4		116.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.4	15.8	13.1	15.0	14.3
BKN	17.9	14.9	14.6	17.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Clarke	23	20	-0.06	-0.33	0.27	-0.06	0	-2	2	15.3	14.0	1.35	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Jaylen Wells	67	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-3	4	14.8	13.1	1.72	15.8	17.1	-1.30
Jay Huff	15	15	-0.12	-0.28	0.16	0.09	-7	5	-12	15.4	14.1	1.32	16.6	16.1	0.47
Jake LaRavia	62	61	-0.19	-0.21	0.02	-0.28	3	-5	8	14.4	14.1	0.34	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Zach Edey	57	59	-0.21	-0.18	-0.03	-0.36	5	-7	12	13.6	15.3	-1.76	16.4	15.9	0.50
Ja Morant	63	62	-0.24	-0.16	-0.08	-0.30	2	-4	6	13.9	15.0	-1.03	16.8	15.0	1.87
Scotty Pippen Jr.	61	61	-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	-0.26	0	-2	2	14.4	14.0	0.44	16.0	16.5	-0.44
Santi Aldama	61	63	-0.29	-0.10	-0.19	-0.12	-6	4	-10	14.2	14.4	-0.20	16.2	16.2	0.06
Jaren Jackson Jr.	66	64	-0.49	0.10	-0.59	-0.26	-8	6	-14	13.9	15.1	-1.23	16.2	16.2	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	72	74	0.70	-0.30	1.00	0.23	16	-14	30	15.6	18.2	-2.58	14.4	13.7	0.73
Dorian Finney-Smith	53	56	0.60	-0.20	0.80	0.25	12	-10	22	16.4	16.0	0.45	15.0	13.3	1.74
Dennis Schroder	68	71	0.47	-0.07	0.54	0.32	5	-3	8	15.7	17.4	-1.63	14.0	15.0	-1.01
Cam Thomas	64	64	0.31	0.08	0.23	0.28	1	1	0	17.0	14.6	2.35	14.2	14.5	-0.39
Nic Claxton	53	51	0.25	0.15	0.10	0.36	-4	6	-10	16.8	15.5	1.31	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Ziaire Williams	41	40	0.15	0.25	-0.10	0.18	-1	3	-4	16.5	16.0	0.55	14.9	13.8	1.15
Jalen Wilson	55	55	-0.09	0.48	-0.57	-0.09	0	2	-2	16.0	16.5	-0.57	14.4	14.2	0.19
Keon Johnson	41	43	-0.16	0.55	-0.71	-0.01	-5	7	-12	15.1	17.1	-1.96	14.0	14.5	-0.43
Shake Milton	23	21	-0.25	0.65	-0.90	0.16	-14	16	-30	17.6	15.8	1.80	13.2	14.6	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.46,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 59, SAS 64	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.82,1	92.6%
SAS 79, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.67,0.95,1	92.3%
HOU 121, UTA 124	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.31,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.69,0.52,0.75,0.96,1	92.3%