NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	121		Excitement	10.3 [60]		MVP	Jeff Green (HOU): +15.5%
Utah Jazz	124		Comeback	2.8 [99]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (HOU): -41.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	0.00	7	81%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Amen Thompson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.10	0.01	12	54%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jock Landale	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	112%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Cam Whitmore	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	69%	0.16	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Holiday	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.1,0.05,0.13,0.05,0	0.20	-0.17	0.03	30	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.09
Jalen Green	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.32,-0.36,-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	14	29%	-0.39	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	0.00	5	80%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.01	13	53%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	78%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	-0.00	12	63%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.08	0.01	5	83%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Yurtseven	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	14	61%	0.20	5	-0.24	5	80%	-0.01
Luka Samanic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18	-0.18	0.02	-0.14	0.06	17	51%	-0.03	2	-0.16	9	78%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	26.0	14.6	27.5	2.5	40.5	137.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +96.7%

HOU -25.3%

UTA +9.7%

HOU -33.2%

UTA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.5	126.0	129.2	113.9
season	14.2	14.7		113.2	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.6		119.0	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	14.5	15.4	16.9	15.4
UTA	16.6	13.2	15.2	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Whitmore	55	56	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.14	6	-9	15	14.2	16.9	-2.62	14.8	14.4	0.38
Aaron Holiday	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-5	7	14.0	15.8	-1.86	15.3	14.4	0.87
Jock Landale	52	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.39	10	-13	23	15.7	14.9	0.86	13.9	15.6	-1.64
Fred VanVleet	78	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.49	12	-15	27	15.1	16.3	-1.14	15.0	13.2	1.79
Jabari Smith Jr.	53	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	15.0	15.7	-0.71	15.6	13.6	2.05
Reggie Bullock Jr.	13	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	9	-21	15.7	15.3	0.39	11.5	15.1	-3.68
Amen Thompson	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-2	1	15.8	14.1	1.73	14.6	14.7	-0.08
Jeff Green	45	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-2	1	15.1	15.6	-0.50	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Jalen Green	38	37	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.11	-23	20	-43	16.9	14.4	2.51	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Dillon Brooks	53	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	3	-9	15.8	14.8	1.02	15.0	14.2	0.77

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	59	59	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-3	9	13.5	16.4	-2.86	15.3	15.5	-0.26
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	57	57	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-2	7	13.3	16.7	-3.40	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Luka Samanic	64	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-4	11	15.0	13.9	1.06	16.0	14.0	1.95
Darius Bazley	50	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	4	-5	14.5	14.8	-0.26	14.0	16.7	-2.71
Keyonte George	65	65	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	5	-7	14.6	14.7	-0.14	15.7	14.5	1.19
Brice Sensabaugh	51	50	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	-1	5	14.5	14.8	-0.33	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Johnny Juzang	44	46	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	2	-1	15.1	14.2	0.91	16.8	14.0	2.83
Taylor Hendricks	35	36	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	0	3	16.1	13.8	2.22	16.2	14.9	1.30
Micah Potter	18	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	14.8	14.6	0.16	13.8	15.7	-1.86
Omer Yurtseven	37	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	6	-9	16.4	13.5	2.86	15.5	15.3	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.31,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.69,0.52,0.75,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.67,0.95,1	91.3%
CLE 59, SAS 64	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.82,1	90.8%
ORL 107, HOU 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	90.7%