NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	79		Excitement	6.9 [342]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): +27.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Comeback	2.0 [404]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -27.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	7	81%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.01	9	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	19	51%	0.09	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.02	9	56%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28	-0.12	-0.20	-0.04	12	30%	-0.18	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.06	0.20	-0.01	12	64%	0.30	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.10	0.00	13	55%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	10	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	7	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	11	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	8	29%	-0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	26.6	15.7	22.4	1.7	28.3	117.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +17.9%

SAS -5.5%

MIN +17.2%

MIN +18.2%

MIN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	15.4	15.6	89.8	96.7	102.8
season	15.3	15.3		109.1	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.7	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.9	16.1	17.8	16.4	17.0
MIN	14.2	16.6	15.0	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	28	28	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-11	14	18.0	16.6	1.43	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Matt Bonner	39	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-9	10	15.7	18.0	-2.30	16.5	14.5	1.95
Danny Green	25	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-7	6	15.4	17.7	-2.32	15.9	15.1	0.81
Kawhi Leonard	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-3	-2	17.6	16.6	1.02	15.4	15.3	0.14
Cory Joseph	23	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	1	-10	17.3	16.9	0.32	14.4	15.7	-1.31
Gary Neal	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-8	8	17.4	16.6	0.82	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Tony Parker	65	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-9	10	16.9	17.3	-0.32	15.7	14.4	1.31
Tim Duncan	58	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-4	0	17.7	15.6	2.11	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Richard Jefferson	68	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	2	-12	17.0	16.9	0.09	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Tiago Splitter	51	53	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.21	-16	8	-24	16.6	17.5	-0.89	14.9	16.0	-1.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	63	61	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-3	14	15.3	15.4	-0.13	17.2	16.6	0.67
Ricky Rubio	79	77	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-3	14	15.2	16.6	-1.46	17.0	16.9	0.13
Kevin Love	71	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-2	12	15.1	16.4	-1.35	17.5	15.3	2.16
Luke Ridnour	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	1	6	15.4	15.2	0.18	17.5	16.0	1.47
Wesley Johnson	44	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	0	8	14.8	15.9	-1.05	17.9	16.2	1.73
Michael Beasley	42	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	10	-12	15.6	15.1	0.45	16.3	17.6	-1.32
Martell Webster	11	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	5	-2	16.6	15.2	1.46	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Wayne Ellington	36	34	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	9	-10	15.2	15.4	-0.18	16.1	17.6	-1.43
Derrick Williams	35	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	16.0	15.0	1.01	16.0	17.7	-1.78
Anthony Randolph	9	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	11	-14	17.0	15.2	1.83	17.2	17.0	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.67,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, HOU 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	92.6%
CLE 91, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.2%
IND 92, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.56,0.46,0.55,0.92,1	91.7%