inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 107 Excitement7.9 [300] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +63.9%
Houston Rockets 114 Comeback1.7 [1013] LVPEvan Fournier (ORL): -5.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marreese Speights0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.120.17-0.001174%0.341-0.041100%0.01
Shelvin Mack0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.140.110.005107%0.271-0.02475%0.02
Mario Hezonja0.220,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.220.100.10-0.031271%0.261-0.0400%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.05-0.011057%0.031-0.03367%-0.01
Khem Birch-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Elfrid Payton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.00333%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jonathon Simmons-0.030,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.07-0.011358%0.111-0.1300%0.00
Wes Iwundu-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02333%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Evan Fournier-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.09-0.041246%-0.041-0.022100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.640.640.400.23-0.003077%0.875-0.231894%0.10
PJ Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.05-0.02590%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.01-0.00583%0.122-0.062100%0.01
Clint Capela0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.001443%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.00644%-0.0300.00650%-0.03
Eric Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011146%0.002-0.04250%-0.02
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.00450%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.70.826.214.525.21.833.0127.2
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -4.3%
HOU +13.6%
HOU +29.0%
HOU +9.3%
HOU +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLHOUNBAORLHOUNBA
this game15.915.414.7117.6122.6107.5
season14.614.6104.2112.8
opponent14.814.5105.6109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.417.214.616.615.9
HOU14.012.815.420.215.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
D.J. Augustin52540.04-0.540.580.011-8917.014.52.5414.516.7-2.23
Elfrid Payton35350.01-0.510.520.04-1-6514.816.6-1.8515.715.20.55
Wes Iwundu4040-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-8917.115.02.1614.216.3-2.10
Arron Afflalo2728-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-7717.615.22.3415.115.5-0.42
Bismack Biyombo4242-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-2-315.516.3-0.7714.716.0-1.29
Khem Birch1010-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-2-316.915.81.1112.015.8-3.81
Marreese Speights3839-0.13-0.370.25-0.337-142115.915.9-0.0717.114.12.98
Shelvin Mack4646-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-6516.615.21.3616.014.81.28
Evan Fournier5354-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.36-4-3-115.117.0-1.9115.415.5-0.11
Mario Hezonja4648-0.680.18-0.86-0.30-136-1914.717.2-2.4616.813.92.84
Jonathon Simmons6669-0.690.19-0.88-0.25-158-2315.417.2-1.8315.415.5-0.14

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Clint Capela59560.62-0.120.750.2413-61915.914.41.5115.217.1-1.86
Ryan Anderson62610.54-0.040.580.318-1916.313.72.5816.315.21.06
James Harden90880.480.020.470.2870715.512.72.8215.722.3-6.64
Luc Mbah a Moute76750.420.080.330.3334-115.614.31.3515.717.0-1.32
PJ Tucker68650.410.090.320.3234-115.315.6-0.2816.314.91.38
Eric Gordon21200.110.39-0.28-0.0452314.015.8-1.8716.615.70.95
Gerald Green62630.050.45-0.39-0.0025-314.916.4-1.4416.414.71.68
Nene2727-0.140.64-0.770.04-613-1913.616.1-2.4915.316.2-0.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 79, MIN 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.67,0.95,192.6%
CLE 59, SAS 640.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.82,192.5%
CLE 102, ORL 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.55,0.73,192.3%