NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	59		Excitement	8.0 [235]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +9.2%
San Antonio Spurs	64		Comeback	1.8 [283]		LVP	Chris Mills (CLE): -36.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	10	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	40%	-0.03	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	16	35%	-0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Bobby Phills	-0.34	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.11	-0.22	0.01	16	30%	-0.31	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Mills	-0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.37,-0.37	-0.15	-0.23	-0.01	14	18%	-0.34	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.06	0.00	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	0.00	6	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.09
Jamie Feick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	4	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	9	33%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	-0.00	7	31%	-0.19	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.18	-0.10	0.00	9	20%	-0.17	4	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	23.5	16.4	21.6	2.3	34.4	122.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.7%

CLE -0.8%

SAS +7.2%

CLE -8.4%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	20.1	18.5	15.6	76.6	88.9	104.4
season	17.8	16.8		102.1	100.8
opponent	15.4	16.1		109.4	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.3	18.4	23.5	21.7	20.1
SAS	18.7	18.6	16.1	20.6	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	23	22	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-8	11	18.8	20.6	-1.87	17.0	19.2	-2.11
Antonio Lang	18	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-5	5	18.8	20.5	-1.71	15.9	19.3	-3.37
Mark West	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-2	-1	19.3	20.2	-0.82	16.7	18.7	-1.99
Bob Sura	31	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	4	-13	18.9	20.9	-1.93	16.9	19.5	-2.60
Bobby Phills	58	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	20.7	18.4	2.29	18.7	17.9	0.74
Tyrone Hill	71	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-3	1	20.2	19.3	0.82	18.7	16.7	1.99
Terrell Brandon	66	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-3	1	20.1	20.3	-0.21	18.8	16.7	2.11
Chris Mills	59	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	0	-5	20.5	18.8	1.71	19.3	15.9	3.37
Danny Ferry	53	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	1	-7	20.8	18.6	2.13	19.5	16.4	3.12

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	39	42	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-7	19	17.6	19.6	-2.02	21.3	18.7	2.63
Monty Williams	41	43	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	-1	7	17.7	19.6	-1.87	20.4	19.7	0.74
Will Perdue	39	41	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	19.0	17.9	1.06	19.8	20.5	-0.72
Carl Herrera	51	50	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	5	-5	19.4	16.3	3.15	20.9	18.6	2.31
Avery Johnson	21	22	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-5	15	16.4	19.4	-2.94	22.6	19.1	3.50
Cory Alexander	51	55	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	10	-15	19.4	16.4	2.94	19.1	22.6	-3.50
Greg Anderson	33	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	17.9	19.0	-1.06	20.5	19.8	0.72
Charles Smith	20	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	2	1	17.0	19.1	-2.10	20.2	20.1	0.11
Dominique Wilkins	31	34	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	6	-7	19.6	17.7	1.87	19.7	20.4	-0.74
Vernon Maxwell	34	37	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	10	-15	19.1	18.0	1.09	18.1	21.9	-3.87
Jamie Feick	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	0.0	18.5	-18.51	2.0	20.3	-18.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.82,1	93.5%
ORL 107, HOU 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	92.5%
PHI 80, DEN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.63,1	92.4%