NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	116		Excitement	9.4 [29]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +32.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Comeback	44.9 [7]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (DEN): -28.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.15	0.07	0.11	0.03	16	62%	0.23	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.09
Michael Porter Jr.	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.02	18	68%	0.20	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.07	0.25	-0.17	0.02	18	76%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Hunter Tyson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Strawther	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	36%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Peyton Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.26	0.02	-0.26	0.02	11	56%	-0.22	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.29,-0.29	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	4	-0.22	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.32	0.32	0.13	0.20	0.01	23	63%	0.39	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.06	-0.12	10	71%	0.17	2	0.08	4	75%	0.03
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	10	76%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	13	74%	0.20	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.09	0.03	7	71%	0.04	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	7	44%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.3	25.8	15.0	33.2	2.8	40.7	145.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +105.3%

DEN -22.8%

DEN -42.2%

MIN +10.4%

DEN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.4	116.0	120.2	112.0
season	13.9	14.6		112.8	113.0
opponent	14.4	14.5		110.5	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.5	15.2	13.9	14.1	14.1
MIN	13.7	16.8	14.4	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Murray	43	43	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.05	8	-11	19	14.3	14.0	0.24	16.6	13.4	3.22
Hunter Tyson	13	12	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-4	5	13.2	14.3	-1.13	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Christian Braun	74	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.46	13	-16	29	13.8	15.1	-1.27	15.5	12.9	2.61
Aaron Gordon	78	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.45	8	-11	19	13.9	15.1	-1.28	15.7	11.7	3.96
Peyton Watson	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	6	-15	14.3	14.1	0.22	12.3	15.9	-3.55
Dario Saric	9	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	8	-19	18.2	13.7	4.49	11.2	15.2	-4.01
Nikola Jokic	82	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.47	6	-9	15	13.9	15.2	-1.32	15.3	12.4	2.89
Julian Strawther	36	36	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	10	-23	13.9	14.3	-0.44	13.5	15.5	-2.01
Russell Westbrook	54	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	10	-23	14.3	14.0	0.34	13.4	16.4	-3.00
Michael Porter Jr.	80	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	2	-7	14.5	12.5	2.05	14.8	14.7	0.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	51	51	1.39	-0.89	2.29	0.60	27	-24	51	12.6	17.1	-4.54	15.2	13.0	2.24
Rudy Gobert	75	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-4	11	14.9	14.7	0.19	14.2	13.8	0.40
Anthony Edwards	78	80	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-2	7	14.7	15.3	-0.61	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Mike Conley	51	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-7	17	16.0	13.5	2.50	16.2	12.0	4.24
Naz Reid	50	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	-10	23	13.7	15.9	-2.20	14.2	14.1	0.08
Julius Randle	73	76	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.45	-14	17	-31	15.5	12.8	2.66	14.0	14.5	-0.53
Joe Ingles	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	3	-3	18.3	14.5	3.88	12.0	14.4	-2.35
Donte DiVincenzo	55	55	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	7	-11	13.6	16.4	-2.80	13.0	15.5	-2.49
Jaden McDaniels	53	54	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	0.23	-29	32	-61	16.6	12.7	3.95	12.9	15.7	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.56,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.58,0.47,0.24,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 117, CLE 121	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.92,0.78,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.47,0.46,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.43,1	89.1%
CHI 112, BOS 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.15,1	88.2%
LAC 100, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.34,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.27,1	87.4%