NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	112		Excitement	8.4 [223]		MVP	Robert Williams III (BOS): +36.4%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	45.5 [66]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -17.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	105%	0.33	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.19	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	20	66%	0.23	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Coby White	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	16	59%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	5	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.17,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	20	47%	-0.00	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.08

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Williams III	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.36	0.36	0.03	0.34	0.00	8	70%	0.44	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.16
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	9	72%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Freedom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	11	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	73%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	19	45%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	24	43%	-0.04	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	28.0	14.8	25.6	2.4	35.5	129.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -4.4%

BOS +31.7%

BOS +34.5%

CHI -17.1%

BOS +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	14.5	121.7	125.3	110.8
season	14.5	14.9		110.9	112.2
opponent	14.7	14.5		105.7	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	12.7	16.2	15.0	15.2
BOS	15.5	18.0	15.1	16.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Bradley	24	25	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.06	8	-10	18	12.4	16.2	-3.85	18.8	15.3	3.50
Matt Thomas	33	33	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-7	12	13.9	15.9	-2.04	18.2	15.1	3.10
Alfonzo McKinnie	50	49	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.25	-8	6	-14	16.1	14.2	1.85	16.6	15.9	0.76
Troy Brown Jr.	23	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	0	-2	16.1	14.9	1.16	15.8	16.4	-0.64
DeMar DeRozan	75	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.51	11	-13	24	14.5	18.3	-3.77	16.0	17.3	-1.26
Malcolm Hill	34	35	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.46	-3	1	-4	14.9	15.4	-0.44	16.6	16.0	0.59
Coby White	76	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	3	-8	15.3	14.7	0.57	16.2	16.5	-0.25
Ayo Dosunmu	77	75	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.48	-6	4	-10	15.7	12.9	2.81	15.4	20.1	-4.68
Nikola Vucevic	68	66	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.50	-10	8	-18	16.2	12.4	3.85	15.3	18.8	-3.50

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	66	68	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.48	14	-12	26	15.5	18.3	-2.78	16.3	12.0	4.30
Robert Williams III	63	65	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.43	9	-7	16	15.6	17.8	-2.20	16.4	12.4	3.98
Jayson Tatum	74	76	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-9	20	16.4	15.9	0.47	15.7	13.1	2.53
Jaylen Brown	68	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	2	-2	15.9	17.3	-1.45	15.7	13.7	1.97
Josh Richardson	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.48	-6	8	-14	16.0	16.7	-0.71	14.2	16.8	-2.55
Enes Freedom	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	15.3	16.5	-1.19	12.6	15.8	-3.15
Grant Williams	28	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	5	-8	17.8	15.6	2.20	13.7	15.8	-2.14
Al Horford	57	57	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	3	-4	17.1	14.8	2.35	15.2	15.3	-0.16
Payton Pritchard	25	24	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.04	-12	14	-26	18.3	15.5	2.78	12.0	16.3	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,1	90.4%
NYK 80, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.09,1	90.4%
PHI 88, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	90.3%