NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	9.5 [82]		MVP	Jerome Williams (DET): +7.9%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	6.8 [203]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -70.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	7	37%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Larry Hughes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	72%	0.16	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	6	61%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Eric Snow	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	7	61%	0.00	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	8	50%	-0.04	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.70	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.45,-0.7	-0.20	-0.50	0.00	26	42%	-0.47	5	-0.23	12	50%	-0.20

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	5	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	5	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.18	0.02	11	62%	-0.05	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.12,-0.17,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26	-0.26	-0.16	-0.07	0.03	22	46%	-0.11	5	-0.15	13	85%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	30.4	17.7	30.2	2.5	40.4	148.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -5.8%

DET +24.1%

PHI -9.4%

DET +25.8%

DET +15.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	15.1	15.2	88.0	90.9	101.7
season	15.0	14.1		99.5	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.0	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	14.2	12.2	13.9	13.9
DET	14.6	15.8	16.0	13.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	65	65	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.10	11	-13	24	14.1	13.5	0.67	16.1	13.1	3.00
Larry Hughes	26	27	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-5	8	13.8	13.9	-0.06	16.9	14.4	2.46
Billy Owens	11	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	4	-10	15.3	13.7	1.55	13.2	15.3	-2.11
Matt Geiger	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	6	-14	14.6	13.4	1.27	14.9	15.1	-0.19
Eric Snow	78	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-7	12	13.3	16.0	-2.71	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Allen Iverson	97	95	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-1	0	13.9	15.0	-1.14	14.9	19.5	-4.63
George Lynch	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	-1	0	13.5	14.7	-1.19	15.0	15.1	-0.06
Tyrone Hill	71	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.55	1	-3	4	13.7	14.3	-0.59	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Aaron McKie	43	41	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.41	-13	11	-24	14.5	13.4	1.13	13.6	16.1	-2.52

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	59	60	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.68	10	-8	18	15.3	14.7	0.61	13.9	13.9	0.03
Michael Curry	46	47	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.66	6	-4	10	14.9	15.2	-0.32	13.9	13.9	0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	82	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	2	-2	15.0	15.4	-0.35	13.5	16.2	-2.74
Lindsey Hunter	83	86	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	1	0	14.8	16.4	-1.64	13.3	17.6	-4.36
John Crotty	16	16	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	0	2	16.4	14.8	1.64	16.6	13.4	3.18
Grant Hill	52	52	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	0	2	15.5	14.5	1.01	14.1	13.7	0.43
Christian Laettner	77	74	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	9	-16	15.2	14.4	0.84	14.5	12.2	2.29
Jud Buechler	19	19	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.20	-3	5	-8	14.1	15.3	-1.25	13.8	13.9	-0.06
Terry Mills	61	62	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.26	-1	3	-4	14.7	15.6	-0.93	13.7	14.1	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 102, NOK 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.27,1	91.6%
PHI 102, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.27,0.26,0.07,0.16,0.28,1	91.1%
MIN 103, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.31,0.42,1	90.7%