NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	8.0 [239]		MVP	JJ Hickson (POR): +24.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	53.6 [22]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -42.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	117%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	19	56%	0.09	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	6	50%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.12	0.02	-0.14	0.00	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,-0.42	-0.04	-0.38	0.00	15	53%	-0.22	5	-0.20	6	83%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.19	0.02	10	62%	0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	0.08
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.01	10	67%	0.28	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.06
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	67%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.11,0.11,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.15	0.00	15	62%	0.16	5	-0.30	2	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	14	40%	-0.03	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	27.5	15.8	24.4	2.5	34.3	132.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +36.6%

POR +41.9%

LAC -22.5%

LAC -3.7%

LAC -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	16.1	15.4	112.4	114.8	104.1
season	15.6	15.8		109.0	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	16.2	17.1	17.9	16.5
POR	15.9	16.5	16.4	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	25	25	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.09	-1	0	-1	18.2	15.8	2.36	16.7	15.8	0.84
DeAndre Jordan	54	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-6	11	16.3	16.7	-0.37	16.4	15.5	0.94
Caron Butler	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	1	-3	16.5	16.4	0.13	15.4	16.5	-1.06
Ronny Turiaf	18	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	8	-17	17.7	16.1	1.58	16.2	16.1	0.12
Willie Green	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	3	-7	16.5	16.4	0.13	15.5	16.4	-0.87
Matt Barnes	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-4	7	16.4	16.5	-0.13	16.4	15.5	0.87
Jamal Crawford	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-4	7	16.4	16.5	-0.13	16.4	15.5	0.87
Blake Griffin	71	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.56	8	-9	17	16.1	17.7	-1.58	16.1	16.2	-0.12
Lamar Odom	35	33	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	7	-15	16.7	16.3	0.37	15.6	16.4	-0.76
Eric Bledsoe	64	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.57	0	-1	1	15.8	18.2	-2.36	15.8	16.7	-0.84

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-3	7	15.9	17.1	-1.27	16.8	14.7	2.16
Damian Lillard	69	71	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.53	-1	2	-3	15.7	17.6	-1.98	15.9	18.8	-2.90
Nicolas Batum	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	1	-1	15.9	17.1	-1.16	16.5	16.5	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	72	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.52	-3	4	-7	15.7	17.7	-1.97	16.1	18.2	-2.09
JJ Hickson	56	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.66	-11	12	-23	16.0	16.2	-0.27	16.4	16.5	-0.13
Meyers Leonard	29	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.21	14	-13	27	15.9	16.2	-0.32	17.2	16.1	1.17
Luke Babbitt	1	2	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	-1	3	24.0	16.0	8.01	6.0	16.7	-10.70
Will Barton	29	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-2	5	17.2	15.5	1.73	17.4	16.0	1.36
Ronnie Price	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	-1	3	17.6	15.7	1.98	18.8	15.9	2.90
Jared Jeffries	16	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	6	-11	17.6	15.7	1.81	14.7	16.8	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.34,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.53,0.33,0.31,0.16,0.09,0.09,1	90.6%
MIL 94, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.32,0.17,1	89.7%
SAC 98, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,1	89.1%