NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	8.0 [244]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +23.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	6.0 [254]		LVP	Earl Boykins (MIL): -28.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.01	8	74%	0.12	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.01	0.06	-0.05	-0.00	10	73%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.28	-0.04	-0.23	0.01	11	33%	-0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.15	0.01	14	64%	0.46	3	-0.22	11	82%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	10	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	4	100%	0.17	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.01	10	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0.01	6	83%	0.07	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	30.3	14.7	25.2	2.7	34.2	134.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +85.8%

PHI +0.3%

MIL -22.4%

MIL -14.0%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	18.0	16.2	15.5	111.9	113.1	105.7
season	16.2	15.5		100.1	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.6	17.2	17.3	19.3	18.0
PHI	16.4	15.5	14.8	18.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	59	59	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-10	19	17.8	18.5	-0.69	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Keyon Dooling	42	40	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-1	1	18.5	17.6	0.88	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Chris Douglas-Roberts	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-3	5	14.8	19.3	-4.48	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Luc Mbah a Moute	34	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.23	-16	15	-31	20.0	16.7	3.30	16.2	16.3	-0.12
John Salmons	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-2	3	19.1	15.1	3.93	16.4	15.7	0.70
Corey Maggette	50	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	2	-5	17.4	19.0	-1.57	16.3	16.2	0.01
Earl Boykins	54	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.58	3	-4	7	17.3	19.4	-2.12	16.4	16.0	0.43
Drew Gooden	37	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.56	1	-2	3	17.4	18.5	-1.08	17.1	15.5	1.54
Andrew Bogut	58	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	1	-3	18.6	16.7	1.95	16.0	16.7	-0.75

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	65	66	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-10	21	16.2	16.4	-0.22	18.5	16.2	2.31
Jrue Holiday	59	60	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.62	-2	3	-5	16.2	16.3	-0.10	18.5	16.8	1.68
Elton Brand	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.59	-2	3	-5	16.3	15.9	0.39	17.6	20.1	-2.47
Thaddeus Young	42	41	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.60	-5	6	-11	16.1	16.4	-0.31	16.9	19.1	-2.21
Evan Turner	19	17	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.54	-12	13	-25	15.9	16.3	-0.39	17.7	18.1	-0.41
Andres Nocioni	29	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	-4	9	16.7	16.0	0.62	16.1	19.0	-2.89
Jodie Meeks	29	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.14	6	-5	11	16.0	16.4	-0.43	19.4	17.3	2.12
Spencer Hawes	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	-2	5	16.5	16.0	0.50	19.5	16.5	3.02
Marreese Speights	15	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	-2	5	15.9	16.3	-0.39	20.1	17.6	2.47
Lou Williams	51	52	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	3	-5	16.3	16.2	0.16	16.9	19.9	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.32,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.17,1	90.0%
NYK 94, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.43,0.18,1	89.8%
LAC 100, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.34,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.27,1	89.7%