NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	8.2 [204]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +41.5%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	6.7 [343]		LVP	Marcus Camby (LAC): -21.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mardy Collins	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.07	0.16	0.01	14	55%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Steve Novak	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	5	60%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Cheikh Samb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.08,0.01,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	24	46%	0.10	2	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.21	0.07	-0.26	0.02	18	63%	0.13	5	-0.34	15	87%	0.03
Marcus Camby	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	5	50%	-0.04	6	-0.17	10	60%	-0.06

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.42	0.42	0.21	0.23	0.02	23	68%	0.45	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	20	52%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	78%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.08	0.01	5	87%	0.12	3	-0.15	5	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	10	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.6	32.7	16.8	27.1	1.7	33.4	138.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.4%

LAC -9.6%

LAC -27.6%

DAL +48.1%

DAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	15.5	108.5	112.6	106.4
season	15.7	15.6		100.7	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		107.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	16.2	15.3	15.3	15.8
DAL	12.6	14.5	15.3	16.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	56	55	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-11	17	15.7	15.9	-0.18	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Cheikh Samb	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.4	15.9	-1.47	15.8	14.6	1.17
DeAndre Jordan	27	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	8	-21	15.4	15.9	-0.48	13.6	15.1	-1.54
Steve Novak	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-6	7	15.9	15.7	0.16	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Mardy Collins	89	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-5	5	15.6	20.0	-4.45	14.9	10.6	4.32
Marcus Camby	79	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	0	-5	15.8	15.7	0.06	14.3	16.5	-2.16
Al Thornton	76	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.2	2.00	15.6	10.7	4.86
Eric Gordon	88	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	0	-5	15.9	14.5	1.38	14.8	13.0	1.77

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	79	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.50	9	-4	13	14.2	17.1	-2.85	15.7	16.3	-0.63
Dirk Nowitzki	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	14.5	15.6	-1.11	15.7	16.2	-0.54
Jason Kidd	65	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	15.8	12.4	3.35	16.3	14.5	1.83
Jason Terry	62	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.44	-3	8	-11	15.2	13.8	1.39	15.2	16.8	-1.60
Brandon Bass	49	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	-1	7	14.6	14.8	-0.13	16.0	15.6	0.37
Jose Juan Barea	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	-4	13	14.0	15.5	-1.54	15.2	16.5	-1.38
Antoine Wright	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	1	3	14.8	14.6	0.18	16.2	15.6	0.56
DeSagana Diop	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	5	-5	16.9	14.4	2.50	16.5	15.7	0.80
Devean George	1	0	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	7	-9	0.0	14.9	-14.85	0.0	15.8	-15.79
James Singleton	12	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	11	-17	14.2	14.8	-0.60	14.0	16.0	-2.02
Erick Dampier	41	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	11	-17	14.4	14.9	-0.49	16.7	15.1	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.26,1	91.3%
WAS 93, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.28,1	91.1%
POR 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	90.9%