NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	8.9 [43]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +38.9%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	4.7 [85]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -16.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39	0.15	0.22	-0.02	15	70%	0.42	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.02	18	54%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	0.07	-0.14	-0.01	24	54%	0.05	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.15,-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	14	32%	-0.04	2	-0.13	6	50%	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.21	0.02	20	64%	0.37	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	23	61%	0.22	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.08
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	60%	0.15	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	6	15%	-0.05	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	29.0	15.4	27.8	2.0	35.8	135.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +27.7%

PHX +5.6%

PHX +8.0%

PHX +7.8%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	15.1	14.4	108.2	113.5	112.0
season	14.7	14.9		117.5	112.6
opponent	14.4	14.2		114.8	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.4	17.3	15.1	14.4	14.7
PHX	15.3	14.0	15.5	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	63	63	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.45	20	-24	44	13.7	16.6	-2.81	16.2	13.0	3.18
Anthony Davis	71	72	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.41	14	-18	32	14.1	16.6	-2.52	15.7	13.2	2.49
Austin Reaves	77	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.45	12	-16	28	14.3	16.5	-2.23	15.7	12.8	2.86
D'Angelo Russell	70	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-4	4	13.4	18.1	-4.73	14.6	16.7	-2.12
Max Christie	44	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	9	-22	16.2	13.5	2.74	14.7	15.4	-0.67
Gabe Vincent	37	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	1	-6	16.8	13.5	3.27	15.1	15.1	-0.09
Dalton Knecht	23	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	9	-22	16.8	14.1	2.69	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Jaxson Hayes	26	24	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	14	-32	16.6	14.1	2.52	13.2	15.7	-2.49
LeBron James	74	72	-0.97	0.47	-1.43	-0.47	-17	13	-30	14.8	14.7	0.10	14.5	17.0	-2.51

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	47	48	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.16	25	-21	46	14.8	15.4	-0.68	16.1	13.3	2.80
Bradley Beal	70	73	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.41	14	-10	24	14.8	16.0	-1.27	14.9	14.2	0.64
Mason Plumlee	49	50	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.01	23	-19	42	15.2	15.0	0.22	16.5	12.9	3.61
Devin Booker	82	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.53	2	2	0	14.8	17.1	-2.37	13.9	19.1	-5.13
Ryan Dunn	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	1	2	14.4	15.5	-1.07	15.4	14.4	0.96
Kevin Durant	77	77	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.31	-6	10	-16	15.1	15.1	0.01	14.2	16.6	-2.35
Monte Morris	5	5	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	0	4	17.8	15.0	2.83	17.8	14.6	3.23
Tyus Jones	63	62	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.24	-13	17	-30	15.5	14.5	1.01	13.9	16.1	-2.21
Jusuf Nurkic	34	33	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.28	-20	24	-44	15.0	15.2	-0.18	12.5	15.9	-3.36
Grayson Allen	22	23	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.03	-12	16	-28	17.6	14.4	3.21	15.7	14.4	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.84,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	90.0%
IND 98, ORL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.9,1,1	90.0%
UTA 107, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.96,1	89.9%