NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	7.6 [276]		MVP	Vince Carter (ORL): +21.2%
Orlando Magic	106		Comeback	5.4 [799]		LVP	Brandon Rush (IND): -19.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	19	60%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	4	75%	0.16	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	12	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	7	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	8	28%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	0.00	21	58%	0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.08
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.02	11	59%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	10	50%	0.13	3	-0.07	22	59%	-0.04
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.06	0.02	7	72%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	32%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.17,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	0.5	30.3	16.7	28.2	2.4	34.7	139.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -13.8%

ORL +36.6%

ORL +12.6%

ORL +15.9%

IND -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.3	103.2	112.8	106.0
season	14.2	15.4		102.2	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.9	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	16.6	15.6	15.7	15.9
ORL	15.1	11.6	15.0	17.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	29	30	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.14	11	-19	30	15.1	16.2	-1.14	15.7	14.0	1.70
Jeff Foster	29	28	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-9	10	15.6	16.0	-0.44	16.3	13.8	2.44
Earl Watson	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.7	15.5	1.24	15.5	14.1	1.40
Dahntay Jones	45	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-1	-6	16.4	15.4	1.04	14.8	14.4	0.37
Solomon Jones	17	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.12	-10	2	-12	18.8	15.3	3.57	11.0	15.3	-4.31
T.J. Ford	63	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-5	2	15.5	16.7	-1.24	14.1	15.5	-1.40
Brandon Rush	79	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-7	6	15.8	16.3	-0.50	14.6	14.4	0.27
Mike Dunleavy	66	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	0	-8	15.6	16.5	-0.90	14.4	15.0	-0.65
Tyler Hansbrough	49	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	1	-10	16.2	15.5	0.68	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Troy Murphy	66	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	1	-10	15.4	17.1	-1.69	14.4	15.0	-0.60

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	47	48	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.19	22	-14	36	14.1	15.0	-0.94	16.2	15.6	0.59
Anthony Johnson	53	54	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.20	21	-13	34	14.1	15.2	-1.10	16.4	15.2	1.23
Dwight Howard	83	83	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	1	6	14.6	14.6	-0.07	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Rashard Lewis	52	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.31	2	6	-4	14.0	15.3	-1.24	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Matt Barnes	39	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	-7	22	13.5	15.3	-1.81	16.1	15.8	0.31
Vince Carter	64	65	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.37	-4	12	-16	14.8	14.1	0.70	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Ryan Anderson	38	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	4	0	15.9	13.6	2.30	16.1	15.8	0.35
Marcin Gortat	11	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	7	-6	14.6	14.6	0.07	16.2	15.9	0.31
Jason Williams	41	41	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.07	-13	21	-34	15.2	14.1	1.10	15.2	16.4	-1.23
Mickael Pietrus	42	42	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.06	-15	23	-38	15.2	14.1	1.11	15.7	16.1	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 80, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,1	90.1%
LAC 91, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.53,0.66,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.76,0.92,1	90.1%
MIN 76, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.98,1	89.8%