NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	76		Excitement	7.5 [331]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (PHX): +5.3%
Phoenix Suns	81		Comeback	6.9 [131]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -27.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	8	44%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.01	19	64%	0.09	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	1	50%	-0.07	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	13	48%	-0.02	6	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27	-0.24	-0.11	-0.07	17	12%	-0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	84%	0.13	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.00	8	31%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.07	-0.00	23	49%	0.11	2	-0.08	11	82%	0.03
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	18	43%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	8	12%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	28.7	14.7	23.2	2.5	30.3	124.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +17.5%

PHX +22.1%

MIN -9.3%

PHX +11.7%

PHX +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	16.6	15.6	83.5	89.0	102.3
season	15.0	15.1		106.7	101.0
opponent	15.8	16.1		102.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	10.7	16.2	16.4	17.4	15.0
PHX	16.7	13.8	17.9	18.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	54	54	0.60	-1.10	1.69	-0.02	21	-26	47	13.7	16.9	-3.17	16.8	16.4	0.35
Rasho Nesterovic	42	44	0.37	-0.87	1.23	0.02	12	-17	29	14.9	15.1	-0.24	17.1	16.2	0.88
Felipe Lopez	4	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-1	-3	17.7	14.9	2.86	16.0	16.7	-0.68
William Avery	15	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	0	-5	16.1	14.8	1.26	17.1	16.6	0.52
Marc Jackson	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	3	-11	15.4	14.8	0.64	17.5	16.2	1.30
Wally Szczerbiak	77	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-11	17	14.4	18.3	-3.87	16.9	15.2	1.68
Kevin Garnett	78	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-8	11	15.1	14.3	0.82	17.6	10.1	7.55
Chauncey Billups	72	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-9	13	14.6	16.4	-1.78	16.6	16.7	-0.08
Sam Mitchell	12	12	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	8	-21	18.2	14.5	3.64	11.1	17.5	-6.40
Anthony Peeler	34	33	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.27	-21	16	-37	16.1	14.3	1.81	14.7	17.8	-3.09
Gary Trent	38	37	-0.91	0.41	-1.33	-0.33	-20	15	-35	15.6	14.6	1.02	16.1	17.0	-0.89

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	42	45	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.34	23	-18	41	15.2	17.9	-2.73	17.0	13.1	3.85
Bo Outlaw	57	60	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.22	22	-17	39	16.2	17.4	-1.19	16.7	11.7	4.96
Joe Johnson	51	51	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.56	4	1	3	15.8	17.7	-1.90	14.9	15.1	-0.25
Stephon Marbury	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	2	1	17.1	12.8	4.28	15.0	15.3	-0.36
Shawn Marion	89	88	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	2	1	16.8	10.5	6.28	15.1	13.0	2.08
Milt Palacio	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	3	-1	12.8	17.1	-4.28	15.3	15.0	0.36
Anfernee Hardaway	40	40	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.20	1	4	-3	17.7	15.8	1.90	15.1	14.9	0.25
Jake Tsakalidis	34	31	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.13	-17	22	-39	17.4	16.2	1.19	11.7	16.7	-4.96
Tom Gugliotta	51	49	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.01	-16	21	-37	17.6	15.4	2.21	13.1	17.2	-4.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 65, DET 69	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.66,0.96,1	92.2%
HOU 88, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.29,0.24,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.97,0.99,1	91.5%
DEN 89, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.85,0.67,0.91,1	91.1%