NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	65		Excitement	7.0 [412]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +10.6%
Detroit Pistons	69		Comeback	3.8 [618]		LVP	Ben Wallace (DET): -18.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.05
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.15,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	19	48%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16	-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	13	39%	-0.08	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.13	-0.01	15	55%	0.19	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.06
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	11	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	12	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	12	46%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	13	31%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	16	36%	-0.06	2	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.8	32.2	18.7	32.8	2.0	42.0	158.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +6.3%

DET +16.6%

DET +35.0%

IND -4.1%

IND -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	17.6	17.5	15.7	80.2	83.1	100.5
season	16.7	16.2		101.1	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.7		92.6	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	19.7	18.9	16.7	17.6
DET	18.9	17.2	16.2	17.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	23	23	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-5	6	18.4	17.3	1.12	17.7	17.4	0.22
Jamaal Tinsley	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-5	6	15.7	17.8	-2.12	19.7	17.3	2.34
Jeff Foster	5	5	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-3	2	18.8	17.6	1.25	13.2	17.8	-4.57
Kenny Anderson	12	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	3	-10	18.0	17.6	0.43	19.2	17.2	1.95
Jonathan Bender	18	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	4	-12	19.2	17.2	2.05	17.3	17.5	-0.25
Austin Croshere	44	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	17.8	17.4	0.36	16.6	18.6	-1.94
Anthony Johnson	61	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-8	12	17.6	17.8	-0.29	17.0	19.1	-2.02
Al Harrington	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-1	-2	17.3	18.1	-0.83	18.7	15.7	2.98
Reggie Miller	46	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-5	6	16.6	19.0	-2.46	18.3	16.3	1.99
Jermaine O'Neal	68	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-2	0	17.8	16.8	1.02	17.4	17.9	-0.51
Metta World Peace	74	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	-2	0	17.7	16.9	0.85	17.0	22.6	-5.55

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	0	4	18.1	13.3	4.87	17.3	20.0	-2.70
Richard Hamilton	82	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	0	4	17.7	0.0	17.71	17.5	24.0	-6.45
Ben Wallace	76	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	17.8	13.7	4.13	17.6	17.7	-0.04
Tayshaun Prince	42	44	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.45	-3	7	-10	19.6	15.3	4.25	17.1	18.3	-1.18
Chauncey Billups	67	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	7	-10	17.5	17.3	0.22	17.5	18.2	-0.77
Corliss Williamson	37	34	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	-6	16	16.3	18.4	-2.11	18.1	17.3	0.79
Lindsey Hunter	17	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	-3	10	16.3	17.8	-1.51	18.6	17.4	1.19
Mehmet Okur	18	16	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	1	2	13.4	18.6	-5.17	19.1	17.3	1.86
Darvin Ham	4	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	6.2	18.1	-11.81	20.3	17.5	2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.66,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.85,0.67,0.91,1	93.7%
VAN 93, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	92.5%
MIN 76, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.98,1	92.2%