NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	7.8 [304]		MVP	Jim Jackson (PHX): +10.3%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	4.1 [687]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (LAC): -48.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	14	70%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	12	58%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	14	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	21	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	40%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.4,-0.48,-0.48	-0.24	-0.25	-0.01	8	12%	-0.15	7	-0.33	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.16,0.1	0.10	-0.07	0.16	-0.01	12	31%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	18	56%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	17	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	8	60%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	15	52%	-0.08	1	-0.04	16	87%	0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.17	-0.05	17	39%	-0.06	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.6	26.1	15.4	22.4	2.4	33.5	128.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -4.6%

PHX +13.7%

PHX +12.7%

PHX +28.6%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	15.5	94.8	103.2	104.0
season	16.0	13.5		103.0	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.5		106.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.6	15.4	16.7	15.5	14.8
PHX	12.2	15.2	16.8	18.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	24	22	0.10	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-12	17	14.0	15.1	-1.01	12.5	16.2	-3.72
Rick Brunson	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-9	11	13.9	15.0	-1.13	11.9	16.2	-4.33
Zeljko Rebraca	29	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-9	11	15.2	14.6	0.58	16.0	15.1	0.86
Quinton Ross	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-1	-5	15.8	14.2	1.69	16.9	14.3	2.65
Chris Kaman	63	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	0	-7	14.7	15.1	-0.39	16.0	14.0	1.98
Bobby Simmons	79	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	0	-7	14.2	17.7	-3.53	15.8	13.3	2.50
Shaun Livingston	79	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	15.0	13.8	1.19	15.1	16.4	-1.34
Marko Jaric	74	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	15.0	14.3	0.69	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Elton Brand	76	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	7	-21	15.0	14.0	0.95	15.4	15.1	0.33

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	91	92	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-7	21	15.3	16.2	-0.93	14.7	17.2	-2.55
Shawn Marion	81	82	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-6	19	15.1	17.0	-1.93	15.0	13.4	1.69
Jim Jackson	69	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	0	7	14.9	16.5	-1.57	15.0	14.4	0.55
Steve Nash	80	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	1	5	15.5	14.4	1.14	15.1	13.4	1.66
Amar'e Stoudemire	80	83	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	3	1	15.2	15.9	-0.68	15.0	13.5	1.55
Steven Hunter	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.12	9	-2	11	17.0	14.5	2.48	14.0	15.2	-1.20
Walter McCarty	9	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	13	-19	13.8	15.5	-1.75	14.5	14.8	-0.33
Leandro Barbosa	33	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	19	-31	15.7	15.2	0.57	13.8	15.3	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.53,0.66,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.76,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 80, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,1	91.4%
GSW 85, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.95,1	91.2%
MIN 103, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.69,0.58,1	90.9%