NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	80		Excitement	7.8 [274]		MVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): +28.5%
Phoenix Suns	82		Comeback	3.1 [235]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -28.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	12	60%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	14	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	-0.00	17	51%	0.05	4	-0.27	7	100%	0.04
Mike Conley	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28	-0.08	-0.18	0.02	8	44%	-0.14	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.29	0.29	0.00	0.29	0.01	10	55%	0.34	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	79%	0.22	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	11	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.11	0.00	14	54%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	6	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.14,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	19	36%	-0.10	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.2	14.8	22.7	2.0	36.4	132.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +0.5%

MEM -6.3%

PHX +30.1%

PHX +25.6%

PHX +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	17.8	15.4	94.1	97.6	104.1
season	16.5	15.2		102.9	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.3	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.8	16.0	14.7	16.9	16.3
PHX	16.5	15.3	19.6	20.1	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	25	24	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-1	0	15.8	16.5	-0.75	17.6	17.8	-0.25
Wayne Ellington	16	17	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-3	4	15.2	16.6	-1.33	16.3	18.1	-1.84
Marreese Speights	12	13	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-1	0	15.0	16.5	-1.55	16.2	18.0	-1.81
Tony Allen	46	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-2	2	16.9	15.6	1.27	18.7	16.8	1.96
Darrell Arthur	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-2	2	16.0	16.5	-0.47	17.5	17.9	-0.34
Zach Randolph	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-4	6	16.6	15.8	0.81	17.8	17.6	0.17
Rudy Gay	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.48	0	-2	2	16.4	15.4	1.05	17.5	20.6	-3.16
Marc Gasol	68	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	3	-8	16.5	15.7	0.78	18.1	16.5	1.60
Quincy Pondexter	31	32	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	3	-8	15.8	16.6	-0.87	18.0	17.6	0.33
Mike Conley	60	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.55	-1	-1	0	16.5	15.8	0.75	17.8	17.6	0.25

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	73	76	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-9	20	17.8	17.4	0.46	16.9	11.8	5.09
Markieff Morris	49	51	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-6	14	18.3	17.0	1.36	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Marcin Gortat	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	0	2	17.7	17.9	-0.18	17.1	14.6	2.49
Goran Dragic	57	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	4	-6	17.7	17.9	-0.13	16.7	15.6	1.13
Shannon Brown	66	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	1	0	18.2	16.2	2.03	16.7	14.9	1.71
PJ Tucker	20	17	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.14	-3	5	-8	15.0	18.6	-3.56	14.1	16.9	-2.84
Sebastian Telfair	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	-2	6	17.9	17.7	0.13	15.6	16.7	-1.13
Jermaine O'Neal	26	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	2	-2	17.9	17.7	0.18	14.6	17.1	-2.49
Michael Beasley	20	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	5	-8	16.0	18.3	-2.31	15.9	16.5	-0.56
Luis Scola	24	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	10	-18	19.0	17.3	1.67	16.3	16.3	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.67,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.72,1	92.2%
HOU 110, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	92.0%
ATL 102, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	91.8%