NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	110		Excitement	8.2 [217]		MVP	Vince Carter (PHX): +56.5%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	3.4 [529]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (PHX): -16.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.23	0.25	-0.03	-0.00	18	80%	0.23	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	75%	0.24	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	16	44%	0.05	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Goran Dragic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	4	38%	-0.02	2	-0.11	5	60%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57	0.56	0.23	0.31	-0.02	17	89%	0.63	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.12	0.02	19	74%	0.36	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	8	76%	0.18	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.02
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	15	39%	0.03	2	-0.11	3	33%	-0.05
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	6	0%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	0.2	27.1	15.6	26.4	2.6	34.2	134.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +61.2%

HOU -12.1%

PHX +0.4%

HOU -0.9%

PHX +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.5	114.6	115.3	105.7
season	15.2	14.5		109.5	108.0
opponent	15.7	14.9		109.0	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.8	14.4	15.2	15.2	15.1
PHX	12.6	15.6	14.8	15.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	39	41	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-7	11	15.9	14.6	1.27	13.2	15.5	-2.25
Goran Dragic	24	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-8	13	14.3	15.4	-1.14	15.7	14.2	1.53
Chase Budinger	78	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-12	21	14.7	17.0	-2.28	13.9	17.2	-3.30
Charles Hayes	49	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	3	-9	16.9	13.3	3.62	13.5	15.7	-2.24
Courtney Lee	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	2	-7	14.5	15.7	-1.19	16.0	13.3	2.68
Brad Miller	58	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	1	-5	14.1	16.7	-2.55	15.6	13.0	2.58
Kyle Lowry	72	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	5	-13	15.4	14.3	1.14	14.2	15.7	-1.53
Kevin Martin	71	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	5	-13	15.8	13.2	2.63	14.2	15.6	-1.46
Patrick Patterson	54	54	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.41	-9	6	-15	14.8	15.6	-0.88	15.8	13.0	2.77

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	72	73	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-5	13	14.8	13.7	1.12	14.9	16.0	-1.18
Hakim Warrick	82	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-3	9	14.8	13.1	1.78	15.6	13.2	2.44
Vince Carter	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-3	9	14.2	15.9	-1.67	15.6	12.9	2.68
Grant Hill	81	79	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	-1	5	14.0	17.0	-2.96	15.4	13.9	1.54
Steve Nash	73	71	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	-1	5	13.9	16.5	-2.64	15.7	13.5	2.20
Jared Dudley	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.19	-2	5	-7	15.6	14.0	1.54	13.8	15.9	-2.07
Aaron Brooks	25	25	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	4	-5	16.5	13.9	2.64	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Mickael Pietrus	11	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	16.4	14.3	2.04	11.8	15.5	-3.73
Josh Childress	8	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	5	-7	13.2	14.7	-1.42	13.3	15.3	-2.00
Robin Lopez	26	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	8	-13	13.7	14.8	-1.12	16.0	14.9	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.85,0.96,0.84,0.73,1	92.8%
MEM 87, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,1	92.8%
ATL 92, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.95,0.95,1	92.8%