NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	6.7 [512]		MVP	Charlie Ward (HOU): +9.8%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	2.9 [750]		LVP	Jason Williams (MEM): -17.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	83%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	9	58%	-0.03	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.05
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	7	62%	0.03	2	-0.08	10	70%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.06	-0.04	5	67%	0.17	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	12	67%	0.19	5	-0.20	6	100%	0.05
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.07	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	8	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	55%	0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.06	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	31.4	16.5	26.3	2.7	41.1	143.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +68.1%

MEM -14.6%

HOU +31.1%

MEM -32.2%

MEM -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	16.6	15.5	92.6	94.7	104.0
season	16.4	16.0		103.7	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.8	14.3	14.6	14.1	13.9
HOU	16.0	16.3	17.3	16.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	34	36	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.02	9	-12	21	15.1	13.2	1.81	17.3	16.1	1.16
Brian Cardinal	28	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-7	11	15.2	13.4	1.81	16.8	16.5	0.32
Dahntay Jones	29	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-3	3	15.4	13.2	2.18	14.8	17.4	-2.52
Stromile Swift	43	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-7	11	13.2	14.5	-1.37	16.4	16.7	-0.30
Mike Miller	44	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-7	11	12.9	14.8	-1.83	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Lorenzen Wright	50	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	4	-11	14.8	12.9	1.83	17.0	16.0	1.00
Shane Battier	51	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	4	-11	14.5	13.2	1.37	16.7	16.4	0.30
Bonzi Wells	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	0	-3	13.2	15.4	-2.18	17.4	14.8	2.52
Pau Gasol	66	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	4	-11	13.4	15.2	-1.81	16.5	16.8	-0.32
Jason Williams	60	59	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.39	-12	9	-21	13.2	15.1	-1.81	16.1	17.3	-1.16

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	65	66	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-6	15	16.0	17.8	-1.82	13.5	14.9	-1.36
Juwan Howard	46	46	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	-3	9	16.8	16.3	0.48	14.4	13.4	1.04
Jim Jackson	87	86	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	16.5	16.7	-0.21	13.9	13.9	0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	42	41	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.51	1	2	-1	16.4	16.7	-0.32	14.2	13.6	0.60
Yao Ming	62	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	-3	9	15.8	17.9	-2.07	14.0	13.7	0.25
Dikembe Mutombo	29	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	5	-7	17.4	16.2	1.23	15.4	13.3	2.05
Ryan Bowen	4	3	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	3	-3	10.5	16.8	-6.32	10.7	14.0	-3.34
Maurice Taylor	52	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	7	-11	17.0	16.0	1.06	13.0	15.0	-1.97
Tracy McGrady	57	58	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	3	-3	16.7	16.3	0.40	13.8	14.0	-0.16
Tyronn Lue	31	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	9	-15	18.0	15.9	2.14	14.0	13.8	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.6%
NOH 102, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.9,0.84,1,1,1	93.3%
MIN 103, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	93.2%