NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	7.2 [372]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +15.5%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	2.5 [664]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -18.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.02	23	62%	0.27	4	-0.11	7	71%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	63%	0.10	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Alan Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.10	-0.06	6	72%	0.03	6	-0.13	6	100%	0.05
Tyrone Corbin	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	11	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.03	-0.09	0.06	13	54%	-0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	11	72%	0.25	3	-0.11	3	67%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0.07,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.09	0.03	21	52%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	89%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.02	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	29.6	15.8	29.2	2.7	29.1	131.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +50.6%

ATL -7.1%

NYK +15.7%

ATL -10.3%

NYK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	17.8	14.6	15.6	103.4	107.9	104.4
season	16.4	15.1		105.3	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.0		98.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.5	16.5	18.7	17.4	17.8
NYK	14.2	14.0	14.0	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	37	36	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-5	6	17.6	17.9	-0.26	14.1	14.9	-0.84
Tyrone Corbin	50	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	17.9	17.7	0.19	14.7	14.4	0.33
Eldridge Recasner	19	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-1	-2	18.0	17.7	0.29	14.5	14.6	-0.04
Christian Laettner	68	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-1	-2	18.1	16.9	1.20	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Henry James	25	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-1	-2	17.1	18.0	-0.97	13.6	15.0	-1.48
Dikembe Mutombo	81	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-2	0	17.7	18.9	-1.21	15.1	9.4	5.72
Mookie Blaylock	83	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-2	0	17.7	19.0	-1.31	14.9	10.7	4.20
Steven Smith	82	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	17.9	16.1	1.77	14.3	18.3	-4.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	55	54	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.42	7	-3	10	13.9	15.6	-1.72	18.4	16.9	1.47
Patrick Ewing	80	78	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-1	6	14.6	14.6	0.03	18.0	16.0	2.03
Allan Houston	62	62	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	-2	8	15.5	12.4	3.07	17.0	19.6	-2.66
Charlie Ward	35	35	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	5	-6	14.7	14.5	0.26	17.0	18.3	-1.32
Charles Oakley	64	66	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	4	-4	14.9	13.7	1.26	17.7	17.9	-0.19
Buck Williams	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	1	2	14.3	14.7	-0.40	17.2	18.1	-0.99
Chris Childs	55	55	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-1	6	14.2	15.2	-0.96	18.4	16.8	1.54
John Wallace	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	2	0	12.9	15.3	-2.40	18.2	17.6	0.64
Larry Johnson	35	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	11	-18	15.2	14.2	1.06	18.0	17.6	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.95,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 110, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	92.8%
UTA 96, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.98,1	92.3%
NOH 102, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.9,0.84,1,1,1	92.0%