inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 114 Excitement7.1 [109] MVPJimmy Butler (MIA): +19.6%
Charlotte Hornets 106 Comeback1.6 [211] LVPTidjane Salaun (CHA): -6.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,-0.02,0.11,0.19,0.20.080.140.021555%0.221-0.021765%-0.07
Tyler Herro0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.150.070.07-0.011561%0.233-0.08683%0.01
Alec Burks0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.02-0.004112%0.1300.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.040.031273%0.152-0.042100%0.01
Thomas Bryant0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovic0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.01762%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Dru Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.01475%0.064-0.1100%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.01-0.011734%-0.031-0.0310%-0.02
Duncan Robinson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00825%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.070.070.040.040.011158%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.10-0.010.031262%0.0600.0000%0.00
Moussa Diabate0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00283%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Nick Richards0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.02863%0.083-0.07367%-0.00
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02744%0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Cody Martin0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.00956%0.022-0.0400%0.00
LaMelo Ball0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.012252%0.105-0.14887%-0.01
Miles Bridges0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05-0.05-0.010.000.041450%-0.002-0.05450%-0.03
Vasilije Micic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Tidjane Salaun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.51.826.814.834.21.831.3143.2
league avg25.82.328.014.928.42.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +39.1%
MIA +6.7%
CHA -12.9%
MIA +14.8%
MIA +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game14.214.714.4114.0107.1112.0
season14.714.9110.3108.6
opponent14.414.6112.6110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.112.613.616.614.2
CHA15.918.213.611.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.47460.400.060.340.0213-21512.914.5-1.6315.515.10.36
Nikola Jovic64640.380.080.310.1292713.813.30.5314.417.9-3.50
Alec Burks40400.330.130.200.04101913.014.2-1.2016.914.02.92
Terry Rozier56550.300.160.150.0783513.713.60.0914.516.6-2.09
Duncan Robinson31310.240.220.010.0083512.714.2-1.4116.114.91.13
Tyler Herro58570.220.24-0.010.1338-514.212.71.4114.916.1-1.13
Bam Adebayo58570.220.24-0.010.1338-514.212.71.4114.916.1-1.13
Jimmy Butler64630.150.31-0.160.18-112-1314.212.41.8115.515.00.52
Thomas Bryant23220.090.37-0.28-0.0347-312.714.0-1.3017.414.62.77
Dru Smith45-0.040.50-0.540.02-213-1516.713.53.2315.415.30.07

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cody Martin42440.00-0.360.36-0.145-111616.314.41.8314.912.62.32
Miles Bridges5759-0.01-0.340.33-0.072-81015.115.8-0.7114.412.32.06
Moussa Diabate1517-0.02-0.330.30-0.051-7814.015.6-1.6112.714.0-1.27
Seth Curry5961-0.04-0.310.26-0.226-121815.614.80.8013.813.70.09
Vasilije Micic1921-0.15-0.210.06-0.03-4-2-214.715.5-0.7614.313.60.73
LaMelo Ball6362-0.20-0.15-0.05-0.17-1-5415.315.30.0313.713.70.05
Nick Richards5960-0.26-0.09-0.17-0.08-60-615.714.61.1214.212.71.49
Tidjane Salaun1919-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-102-1217.414.13.3211.514.8-3.31
Grant Williams4242-0.370.02-0.38-0.07-104-1414.316.3-2.0312.914.5-1.62
Tre Mann5555-0.440.09-0.53-0.06-137-2014.816.2-1.3613.014.9-1.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.27,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.26,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.03,0.1,0.21,0.16,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 74, PHI 660.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,093.5%
DET 84, PHX 820.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.02,093.5%
MIL 107, GSW 980.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.19,0.13,0.06,0,0.03,0,093.4%