NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	6.3 [573]		MVP	Alec Burks (GSW): +12.3%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.3 [1104]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -19.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.08	0.03	16	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Brook Lopez	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.03	11	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.03	0.06	21	55%	0.11	3	-0.08	13	69%	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	36%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.02	13	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alen Smailagic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ky Bowman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	56%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	0.06	13	52%	-0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jacob Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	7	31%	-0.08	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	30.3	14.8	29.5	2.8	36.2	141.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.5%

MIL +12.1%

GSW -10.5%

MIL +24.8%

MIL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	GSW	NBA	MIL	GSW	NBA
this game	13.4	14.0	14.2	101.9	93.3	109.6
season	13.2	14.1		111.0	103.9
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.6	14.5	12.4	14.2	13.4
GSW	14.1	15.5	12.8	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	54	53	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-5	19	13.9	12.8	1.05	14.0	14.1	-0.10
Khris Middleton	71	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	3	3	13.5	13.1	0.39	13.7	14.8	-1.06
Wesley Matthews	58	61	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	2	5	13.3	13.5	-0.16	13.9	14.3	-0.43
Brook Lopez	61	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	6	-3	13.3	13.5	-0.24	14.3	13.7	0.55
Pat Connaughton	62	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	9	-9	13.1	13.7	-0.58	14.4	13.6	0.86
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	74	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	4	1	12.9	14.6	-1.75	13.5	15.4	-1.95
Kyle Korver	30	28	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	1	7	12.8	13.6	-0.77	15.2	13.6	1.59
Ersan Ilyasova	26	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	6	-3	14.2	13.1	1.03	15.1	13.7	1.41
Robin Lopez	24	22	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	6	-3	13.5	13.3	0.21	14.8	13.9	0.92
Eric Bledsoe	65	67	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	13	-17	13.7	12.9	0.78	13.6	14.9	-1.33

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ky Bowman	50	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-10	11	14.4	13.8	0.60	13.9	12.9	1.03
Eric Paschall	25	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-5	1	15.1	13.7	1.41	13.0	13.5	-0.46
Omari Spellman	41	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-11	13	13.1	14.6	-1.48	12.6	13.9	-1.31
Alen Smailagic	23	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-3	-3	16.5	13.4	3.11	14.5	13.1	1.36
Willie Cauley-Stein	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	13.8	14.2	-0.43	13.7	13.2	0.50
Glenn Robinson III	65	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-10	11	13.4	15.0	-1.62	13.7	12.9	0.75
Jordan Poole	30	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-1	-7	15.0	13.7	1.29	13.3	13.4	-0.08
Damion Lee	72	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-6	3	13.6	15.0	-1.43	13.5	13.1	0.35
Jacob Evans	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	1	-11	15.0	13.4	1.62	12.9	13.7	-0.75
Draymond Green	75	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	13.6	15.2	-1.61	13.4	13.2	0.22
Alec Burks	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-1	-7	13.9	14.3	-0.41	12.8	14.1	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.19,0.13,0.06,0,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 108, UTA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.7%
LAL 103, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.03,0.03,0.08,0	93.9%
MIL 133, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%