NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	5.9 [639]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +16.4%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	1.3 [353]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (POR): -10.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.06	0.06	13	84%	0.24	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.01	8	75%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	27	62%	0.25	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	9	57%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Allen Crabbe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	9	44%	-0.05	5	-0.06	9	22%	-0.11

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	13	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	13	51%	-0.01	0	0.00	15	73%	-0.02
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	20	41%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	30%	-0.08	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	30.2	15.3	30.9	1.8	32.2	135.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +73.2%

UTA -9.8%

POR +6.9%

UTA -20.5%

POR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	14.9	114.9	97.9	105.1
season	15.0	16.3		107.1	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.6		102.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.2	14.3	15.4	17.5	15.1
UTA	16.8	15.7	17.3	12.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	-5	26	15.5	13.9	1.55	15.1	16.9	-1.76
Mason Plumlee	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	-2	20	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.4	16.0	-0.54
Damian Lillard	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	7	2	15.8	11.5	4.31	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Al-Farouq Aminu	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	3	10	15.9	12.7	3.12	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Maurice Harkless	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	5	6	15.3	14.8	0.48	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Noah Vonleh	27	25	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	11	-6	13.6	15.7	-2.13	17.3	14.9	2.34
Allen Crabbe	43	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	9	-2	12.6	17.2	-4.60	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Ed Davis	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	19	-22	15.7	14.7	1.02	16.7	14.9	1.74
Meyers Leonard	22	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	17	-18	13.6	15.5	-1.94	16.9	15.1	1.73

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	26	27	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.14	10	-26	36	16.5	15.2	1.35	13.0	15.9	-2.96
Elijah Millsap	12	12	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-18	20	17.0	15.4	1.65	13.7	15.3	-1.52
Chris Johnson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-13	10	13.5	15.6	-2.11	8.7	15.3	-6.62
Derrick Favors	47	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-13	10	16.3	14.8	1.51	16.0	14.2	1.82
Raul Neto	29	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-6	-4	18.0	14.5	3.47	14.5	15.3	-0.84
Trey Lyles	17	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-8	0	16.6	15.3	1.32	13.1	15.6	-2.53
Trey Burke	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-12	8	14.8	16.5	-1.68	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Joe Ingles	43	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-12	8	14.6	16.4	-1.77	14.9	15.2	-0.39
Alec Burks	67	65	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-11	6	14.6	17.9	-3.26	15.0	15.2	-0.14
Rodney Hood	42	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	0	-16	15.2	15.8	-0.59	16.7	13.7	2.98
Gordon Hayward	75	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	3	-22	14.9	18.1	-3.19	15.6	13.0	2.64
Rudy Gobert	57	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.00	-20	4	-24	16.3	14.4	1.91	15.5	14.4	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 133, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MEM 102, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	94.4%
SAS 113, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%