NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	74		Excitement	5.0 [814]		MVP	Torraye Braggs (HOU): +4.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	66		Comeback	1.3 [423]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -27.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Torraye Braggs	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	16	56%	0.08	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	11	48%	0.01	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	15	37%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Steve Francis	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.25	-0.04	-0.05	17	29%	-0.11	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.03	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	13	35%	-0.13	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.26	-0.07	-0.05	19	32%	-0.19	5	-0.08	9	78%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.3	26.6	15.6	28.4	2.3	37.5	139.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.6%

PHI -2.9%

HOU +17.7%

PHI -3.5%

HOU +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	18.6	13.9	15.7	84.1	74.2	100.5
season	16.5	16.2		98.8	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.6		99.5	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.0	16.4	20.3	19.0	18.6
PHI	15.2	14.3	13.4	12.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-1	10	18.4	20.9	-2.54	14.2	11.9	2.30
Kelvin Cato	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	18.7	18.6	0.04	14.0	13.6	0.35
Jim Jackson	68	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	18.6	18.9	-0.33	13.7	14.8	-1.20
Yao Ming	80	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	18.7	17.7	0.99	13.6	16.3	-2.68
Steve Francis	65	67	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	4	0	19.0	17.6	1.47	14.0	13.6	0.38
Torraye Braggs	29	30	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	0	8	18.4	18.8	-0.40	14.6	13.6	0.97
Moochie Norris	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	2	4	17.6	19.0	-1.47	14.1	13.8	0.28
Bostjan Nachbar	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	8	-8	19.4	18.3	1.09	13.4	14.2	-0.74
Scott Padgett	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	10	-12	22.5	18.3	4.24	11.0	14.2	-3.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	5	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-9	10	10.0	14.2	-4.15	17.4	18.7	-1.32
Amal McCaskill	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-6	4	12.1	14.2	-2.09	15.8	19.0	-3.21
Willie Green	26	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-6	4	13.6	14.0	-0.43	19.9	18.2	1.72
Samuel Dalembert	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-8	8	14.4	13.4	1.02	18.8	18.4	0.39
John Salmons	34	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	0	-8	14.7	13.5	1.22	18.7	18.6	0.14
Kenny Thomas	39	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	1	-10	14.1	13.8	0.23	19.2	18.2	0.98
Aaron McKie	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-6	4	13.8	14.1	-0.27	18.4	19.1	-0.62
Marc Jackson	77	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-4	0	13.8	14.9	-1.15	18.8	17.7	1.04
Eric Snow	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	14.0	13.6	0.43	18.2	19.9	-1.72
Allen Iverson	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	14.0	13.2	0.76	18.7	18.0	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 127, MEM 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NYK 76, MIA 64	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
LAL 97, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%