NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	4.6 [887]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +9.7%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	1.3 [942]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -10.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.06	-0.04	26	55%	0.14	2	-0.05	12	42%	-0.07
Travis Knight	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ron Harper	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	20	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	23%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	56%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	13	34%	-0.08	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	0.03	21	58%	0.03	5	-0.11	15	67%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	28.2	15.5	23.9	2.5	29.3	125.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +21.4%

LAL +11.4%

LAL +13.3%

LAL +3.7%

LAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.2	105.4	100.0	101.7
season	15.3	15.5		105.6	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.1		103.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.3	14.9	15.9	14.8	15.7
NJN	15.4	20.4	13.5	15.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	36	35	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-3	14	13.8	16.9	-3.14	18.5	14.6	3.86
Robert Horry	42	40	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-2	12	15.0	16.4	-1.41	17.7	14.8	2.93
Kobe Bryant	76	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	15.7	15.9	-0.19	15.8	17.7	-1.95
Shaquille O'Neal	82	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	5	-2	15.8	15.3	0.47	15.7	20.0	-4.32
Glen Rice	65	63	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	15.7	15.7	0.02	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Derek Fisher	35	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	5	-2	16.4	15.3	1.15	16.7	15.7	0.98
Ron Harper	42	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	3	2	16.5	15.0	1.48	15.4	16.7	-1.34
Rick Fox	38	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	11	-14	15.8	15.6	0.21	14.6	17.2	-2.51
Travis Knight	10	9	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.01	5	3	2	15.3	15.8	-0.47	20.0	15.7	4.32
A.C. Green	34	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	9	-10	16.9	15.0	1.85	14.9	16.8	-1.86

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	52	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-19	30	13.8	19.3	-5.50	17.0	13.9	3.07
Jamie Feick	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-6	4	21.5	15.7	5.78	11.7	16.0	-4.33
Scott Burrell	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-10	12	14.8	16.8	-1.98	15.8	15.7	0.06
Kendall Gill	53	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-9	10	15.2	17.4	-2.19	16.0	15.3	0.70
Kerry Kittles	45	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-1	-6	16.4	15.9	0.49	15.3	16.1	-0.74
Lucious Harris	34	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	16.7	15.8	0.91	15.9	15.6	0.36
Johnny Newman	42	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	17.8	14.6	3.26	15.3	16.1	-0.75
Keith Van Horn	66	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	16.2	15.9	0.33	15.7	15.7	-0.03
Evan Eschmeyer	31	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	9	-26	18.9	14.6	4.28	14.4	16.5	-2.11
Stephon Marbury	84	88	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	3	-14	15.9	20.2	-4.33	15.8	13.2	2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 119, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
DEN 108, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.01,0	95.2%
GSW 90, NYK 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%