NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	125		Excitement	6.4 [529]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +17.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	1.1 [1148]		LVP	Scoot Henderson (POR): -13.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.01	12	77%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.02	0.04	15	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	73%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dereck Lively II	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.01	28	50%	0.17	5	-0.12	8	87%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Seth Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.06	-0.05	21	62%	0.25	6	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	15	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Minaya	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Toumani Camara	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	20	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.19	-0.01	-0.07	17	27%	-0.03	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	39.0	10.8	25.4	2.3	29.7	135.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +49.5%

DAL +0.3%

POR -0.9%

POR -0.5%

DAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	13.8	14.0	14.5	121.4	107.7	113.9
season	14.3	14.8		116.1	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		116.2	113.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.9	13.2	14.3	15.2	13.8
POR	13.8	14.0	13.4	14.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	82	84	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.01	21	-8	29	14.0	13.2	0.76	13.8	14.7	-0.95
Tim Hardaway Jr.	77	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-2	17	13.6	14.4	-0.77	14.4	12.7	1.72
Luka Doncic	88	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	0	13	14.4	10.6	3.80	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Seth Curry	37	38	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	-1	15	15.0	13.2	1.80	13.8	14.1	-0.22
Dereck Lively II	59	61	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	7	-1	14.5	12.9	1.59	14.4	13.4	1.00
Dwight Powell	27	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	7	-1	14.7	13.6	1.11	12.6	14.5	-1.92
Dante Exum	73	72	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	11	-9	13.2	15.4	-2.24	14.0	13.8	0.20
Markieff Morris	17	16	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	12	-11	10.2	14.6	-4.39	14.8	13.8	0.98
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	10	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	12	-11	11.7	14.1	-2.38	15.5	13.8	1.75
A.J. Lawson	15	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	17	-21	12.9	14.0	-1.14	13.1	14.1	-0.99
Kyrie Irving	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	23	-33	13.7	13.9	-0.25	13.7	14.1	-0.39

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Murray	39	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-20	27	14.6	13.6	0.97	13.4	14.1	-0.74
Justin Minaya	17	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-16	19	15.5	13.7	1.85	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Duop Reath	42	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-15	17	13.9	14.0	-0.09	15.4	12.7	2.66
Shaedon Sharpe	68	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-14	15	13.4	15.0	-1.60	14.5	12.5	2.06
Anfernee Simons	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	13.8	14.4	-0.65	14.5	12.1	2.35
Matisse Thybulle	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-2	-9	13.7	14.9	-1.18	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Jabari Walker	62	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	2	-17	14.0	13.9	0.09	12.7	15.4	-2.66
Scoot Henderson	67	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	6	-25	14.6	12.8	1.86	12.9	15.4	-2.46
Toumani Camara	71	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.07	-23	10	-33	13.7	14.6	-0.92	13.9	13.8	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
DAL 104, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
BOS 100, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0	93.1%