NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	5.3 [610]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +22.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	1.1 [696]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): -12.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.20	0.02	-0.00	19	69%	0.25	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.10	0.03	-0.08	21	38%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.03	-0.05	4	80%	0.10	8	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	18	64%	0.23	5	-0.16	14	100%	0.07
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.01	0.11	11	91%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	6	43%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	29%	-0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	-0.00	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	14	43%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	8	30%	-0.05	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	34.5	16.5	28.9	1.8	28.2	139.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +40.3%

MIN -11.1%

MIN -12.0%

DAL +28.9%

DAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	12.6	15.6	96.3	89.8	102.8
season	15.5	15.3		101.6	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.7	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.5	13.1	14.5	14.9	14.0
MIN	15.3	13.0	11.2	11.2	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	62	63	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.02	23	-16	39	12.9	15.6	-2.68	13.7	11.1	2.59
Vince Carter	61	61	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.09	24	-17	41	13.1	15.3	-2.14	12.9	12.3	0.65
Dirk Nowitzki	80	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-14	35	13.7	14.9	-1.14	13.4	10.5	2.89
Brandan Wright	42	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-1	9	12.4	15.1	-2.69	12.4	12.8	-0.35
Shawn Marion	76	76	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	-1	9	13.3	15.7	-2.38	13.3	11.1	2.17
Brendan Haywood	33	33	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	-9	25	13.7	14.2	-0.55	15.2	11.5	3.73
Jason Terry	73	73	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.46	-11	18	-29	14.8	12.5	2.31	11.7	14.5	-2.72
Yi Jianlian	6	7	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	9.3	14.3	-4.99	12.1	12.7	-0.51
Brian Cardinal	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	22.0	14.0	8.03	9.0	12.7	-3.65
Delonte West	46	45	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.29	-17	24	-41	15.6	12.9	2.68	11.1	13.7	-2.59
Lamar Odom	28	29	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.23	-17	24	-41	17.4	12.9	4.57	10.2	13.5	-3.25
Ian Mahinmi	32	32	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.19	-19	26	-45	16.7	12.9	3.84	10.6	13.5	-2.88

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	65	65	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.44	16	-23	39	11.5	14.3	-2.76	14.8	13.0	1.82
Martell Webster	31	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-13	19	10.9	13.3	-2.41	16.0	13.3	2.70
Wayne Ellington	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-14	21	7.2	12.8	-5.58	17.6	13.9	3.73
Anthony Tolliver	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-14	21	7.2	12.8	-5.58	17.6	13.9	3.73
Jose Juan Barea	52	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-11	15	11.4	13.7	-2.35	14.1	14.0	0.06
Derrick Williams	61	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-13	19	11.7	13.8	-2.03	13.4	14.8	-1.39
Luke Ridnour	57	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	1	-9	13.6	11.5	2.03	14.1	13.9	0.20
Wesley Johnson	29	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	11	-29	15.4	11.6	3.87	13.0	14.4	-1.38
Kevin Love	93	92	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	6	-19	12.8	11.8	0.95	13.8	15.2	-1.34
Ricky Rubio	85	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	11	-29	13.1	10.7	2.39	13.6	15.6	-1.93
Nikola Pekovic	59	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.11	-24	17	-41	14.2	10.7	3.45	13.5	14.7	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 103, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
TOR 119, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
CHH 106, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%