NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	4.8 [873]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +8.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	80		Comeback	1.3 [460]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -18.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	26	52%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	13	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	18	53%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Chauncey Billups	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	14	23%	-0.11	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	59%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	9	56%	0.00	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.07	0.02	21	39%	-0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.4	27.4	16.8	26.1	3.5	33.5	133.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +3.4%

DET +5.4%

DET +6.1%

DET +31.1%

DET +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	19.0	16.1	15.6	106.1	97.6	104.4
season	16.9	15.2		108.3	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.8		106.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.5	17.4	21.9	20.6	19.0
PHI	17.0	15.4	19.1	13.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	68	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.22	14	-7	21	18.4	22.0	-3.65	16.8	13.0	3.79
Richard Hamilton	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-2	11	19.1	18.4	0.71	15.9	18.0	-2.14
Chauncey Billups	69	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-2	11	19.7	15.0	4.72	16.8	12.9	3.83
Tayshaun Prince	61	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-2	11	18.7	19.8	-1.06	16.8	14.1	2.64
Ben Wallace	66	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	0	7	19.0	18.7	0.36	16.4	15.2	1.19
Maurice Evans	21	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	9	-11	19.8	18.7	1.06	14.1	16.8	-2.64
Antonio McDyess	30	30	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.26	-7	14	-21	20.2	18.2	1.98	14.2	17.3	-3.12
Carlos Arroyo	13	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	9	-11	15.0	19.7	-4.72	12.9	16.8	-3.83
Carlos Delfino	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	9	-11	18.4	19.1	-0.71	18.0	15.9	2.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	1	1	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-7	7	0.0	16.3	-16.35	38.0	18.7	19.26
Lou Williams	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-8	9	13.9	17.1	-3.20	18.3	19.2	-0.91
Shavlik Randolph	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-10	13	13.4	17.5	-4.03	19.7	18.6	1.18
Michael Bradley	12	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-2	-3	17.1	16.0	1.10	16.3	19.4	-3.12
Kyle Korver	33	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-12	17	14.9	17.0	-2.02	20.6	17.7	2.87
Samuel Dalembert	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-7	7	17.0	14.5	2.50	19.8	17.3	2.51
John Salmons	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	16.5	15.2	1.28	19.1	18.6	0.46
Kevin Ollie	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	4	-15	17.6	13.4	4.18	18.3	20.1	-1.80
Chris Webber	71	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	5	-17	16.4	14.7	1.64	18.4	22.5	-4.02
Andre Iguodala	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	5	-17	16.3	14.7	1.65	18.5	22.5	-4.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, DAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0	95.2%
CHI 96, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.7%
IND 112, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.7%