NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	9.3 [124]		MVP	Jonathan Kuminga (GSW): +32.3%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	5.0 [556]		LVP	Toumani Camara (POR): -43.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaedon Sharpe	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	18	65%	0.23	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06
Matisse Thybulle	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	6	75%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	27	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Kris Murray	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jabari Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Scoot Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.44	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.44	-0.18	-0.29	-0.03	14	21%	-0.14	3	-0.30	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.12	0.21	0.00	6	93%	0.32	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	18	66%	0.42	4	-0.20	11	91%	0.05
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	72%	0.15	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.03,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.00	13	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	12	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	28.8	15.2	30.4	1.8	33.2	139.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +12.2%

GSW +15.8%

GSW +22.6%

POR -4.3%

GSW +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	15.0	14.5	105.0	112.2	113.9
season	14.8	14.3		106.9	116.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.1	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.4	13.5	15.4	14.7	14.0
GSW	14.2	15.3	14.0	16.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duop Reath	46	44	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.06	6	-10	16	14.6	13.4	1.21	15.0	15.0	0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	24	25	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-9	14	13.4	14.1	-0.73	16.8	14.4	2.48
Kris Murray	44	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-3	2	13.8	14.1	-0.23	16.1	14.1	1.98
Jabari Walker	46	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	1	-6	13.6	14.3	-0.66	15.2	14.8	0.35
Matisse Thybulle	68	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-2	0	13.6	14.7	-1.12	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Toumani Camara	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	14.3	13.6	0.71	14.1	16.1	-1.98
Anfernee Simons	79	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.52	2	-6	8	13.9	14.2	-0.27	15.2	14.2	0.96
Shaedon Sharpe	87	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	3	-10	14.5	10.7	3.78	14.6	17.3	-2.68
Scoot Henderson	55	53	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.36	-15	11	-26	13.5	14.6	-1.13	15.1	14.9	0.23

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	32	32	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.43	13	-9	22	15.6	14.7	0.90	15.4	13.3	2.10
Andrew Wiggins	56	58	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.47	6	-2	8	13.9	16.4	-2.43	14.7	13.0	1.65
Klay Thompson	57	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.64	-6	10	-16	14.6	15.5	-0.94	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Stephen Curry	70	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	0	4	14.2	16.9	-2.61	14.5	12.5	1.98
Draymond Green	63	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	5	-6	14.5	15.9	-1.39	14.0	13.9	0.13
Dario Saric	41	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	-3	10	15.4	14.7	0.77	14.1	13.9	0.25
Brandin Podziemski	43	44	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	-1	6	16.2	14.1	2.09	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Moses Moody	54	55	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.17	3	1	2	15.5	14.3	1.18	13.7	14.3	-0.57
Chris Paul	42	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	8	-12	15.8	14.4	1.43	13.0	14.7	-1.68
Kevon Looney	32	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	11	-18	15.4	14.8	0.62	13.9	14.0	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.96,1	91.9%
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	91.5%
TOR 91, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.39,0.54,0.68,0.95,1	91.4%