inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 107 Excitement6.7 [497] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +38.3%
Denver Nuggets 116 Comeback2.4 [757] LVPNaz Reid (MIN): -14.4%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gobert0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.05-0.00776%0.152-0.04333%-0.05
Anthony Edwards0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.01-0.011858%0.131-0.03771%-0.02
Mike Conley0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.10-0.020.001279%0.193-0.1100%0.00
Monte Morris0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.00475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.030.00462%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Josh Minott0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daishen Nix0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041125%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Luka Garza0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Leonard Miller-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02175%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00533%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Jaden McDaniels-0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.040.02856%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Naz Reid-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.011930%-0.1400.00520%-0.10

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.380.380.320.110.052079%0.422-0.041258%-0.06
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.030.001460%0.131-0.032100%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.08-0.00-0.011377%0.164-0.0800%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01950%0.0100.0000%0.00
Hunter Tyson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Jalen Pickett00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jay Huff00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.010.02250%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.020.03753%0.011-0.0510%-0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.020.01945%0.053-0.102100%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.080.01-0.00731%-0.032-0.04250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.626.915.529.63.340.4140.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +31.9%
DEN +8.5%
DEN +26.2%
MIN -13.1%
MIN -3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game15.815.314.5115.1126.1113.9
season14.915.0114.4116.2
opponent14.614.7111.6108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.617.015.615.015.8
DEN15.014.317.914.415.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Naz Reid60590.23-0.730.960.143-121515.915.50.4215.215.6-0.40
Daishen Nix67-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-16237.716.3-8.6813.915.5-1.61
Luka Garza67-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-16237.716.3-8.6813.915.5-1.61
Wendell Moore Jr.67-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-16237.716.3-8.6813.915.5-1.61
Leonard Miller67-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-16237.716.3-8.6813.915.5-1.61
Josh Minott67-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-16237.716.3-8.6813.915.5-1.61
Jordan McLaughlin2021-0.05-0.450.39-0.050-9917.715.22.5014.115.7-1.62
Monte Morris2726-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-5115.915.70.1517.414.52.84
Mike Conley5958-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-101-1116.514.61.8414.816.2-1.36
Nickeil Alexander-Walker3335-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.11-8-1-716.515.41.0815.615.20.41
Kyle Anderson2928-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-112-1317.914.83.0214.815.6-0.76
Anthony Edwards6764-0.45-0.05-0.390.02-167-2315.915.40.5015.914.01.89
Jaden McDaniels6461-0.49-0.01-0.480.01-178-2516.015.30.7416.113.92.13
Rudy Gobert7673-0.510.01-0.52-0.01-178-2516.413.13.2615.215.9-0.76

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Braun54540.52-0.020.540.2690915.115.7-0.5715.416.3-0.90
Peyton Watson44470.440.060.380.3245-115.215.5-0.3215.116.5-1.46
Nikola Jokic73740.370.130.240.2063315.813.52.3015.317.7-2.39
Justin Holiday16170.300.200.110.0490915.615.30.2615.016.0-0.96
Reggie Jackson40400.290.210.080.2036-315.215.4-0.1715.715.9-0.19
Michael Porter Jr.71700.270.230.030.0672515.614.31.3116.214.41.85
Jamal Murray51520.210.29-0.080.0172515.615.00.5416.015.50.53
Aaron Gordon51520.210.29-0.08-0.0590915.415.30.1417.413.73.76
Hunter Tyson220.000.50-0.500.03-110-116.515.5-9.0410.015.9-5.91
Julian Strawther220.000.50-0.500.03-110-116.515.5-9.0410.015.9-5.91
Jay Huff220.000.50-0.500.03-110-116.515.5-9.0410.015.9-5.91
Zeke Nnaji540.000.50-0.500.09-312-1511.615.6-3.9610.516.0-5.52
Jalen Pickett110.000.50-0.500.03-110-117.015.4-8.448.015.9-7.87
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope4848-0.110.61-0.73-0.05-211-1316.014.71.2816.614.91.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 79, PHI 840.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,194.9%
MIA 105, BKN 1160.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.89,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,194.1%
PHI 75, CHH 840.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,194.0%