inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 111 Excitement3.3 [1117] MVPKyrie Irving (DAL): +21.6%
Miami Heat 92 Comeback1.3 [800] LVPBam Adebayo (MIA): -9.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyrie Irving0.220,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.200.030.011583%0.231-0.0100%0.00
Daniel Gafford0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.000.026100%0.1000.0000%0.00
Luka Doncic0.070,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.00-0.042354%0.103-0.02887%0.01
P.J. Washington0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.011152%0.071-0.0210%-0.01
Dante Exum0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.021100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.011246%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.J. Lawson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaden Hardy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Josh Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01530%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.03831%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.01470%0.0500.002100%0.01
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.11-0.000.07989%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Tyler Herro0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.021557%0.094-0.057100%0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00475%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.031447%0.032-0.022100%0.01
Jamal Cain00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cole Swider0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Orlando Robinson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alondes Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovic0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03933%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.000.04875%0.045-0.1000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.000.021329%-0.1000.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.827.016.625.52.830.0130.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +38.3%
MIA -3.9%
MIA -6.2%
DAL +19.6%
DAL +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMIANBADALMIANBA
this game16.414.914.5120.7100.0113.9
season14.314.9115.7112.3
opponent14.814.6111.0113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.215.117.717.616.4
MIA15.515.511.817.514.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.36370.420.080.34-0.051631315.716.8-1.1114.515.2-0.75
Kyrie Irving67680.360.140.230.04118316.915.01.8815.313.91.38
P.J. Washington65640.340.160.170.04109116.615.70.9416.012.43.65
Maxi Kleber40400.300.200.10-0.08136716.416.30.1414.015.7-1.65
Luka Doncic67680.300.200.100.09712-517.114.52.5414.915.0-0.14
Dante Exum37370.270.230.05-0.02109115.417.1-1.7016.114.12.01
Daniel Gafford47480.200.30-0.100.14217-1516.716.00.7216.113.72.40
Josh Green27300.190.31-0.13-0.02712-516.716.20.4713.015.9-2.87
Derrick Jones Jr.49480.120.38-0.250.15-120-2117.115.61.4815.114.70.35
Olivier-Maxence Prosper540.000.50-0.50-0.12415-1112.416.6-4.2010.515.1-4.64
Markieff Morris540.000.50-0.50-0.12415-1112.416.6-4.2010.515.1-4.64
Brandon Williams540.000.50-0.50-0.12415-1112.416.6-4.2010.515.1-4.64
A.J. Lawson540.000.50-0.50-0.12415-1112.416.6-4.2010.515.1-4.64
Jaden Hardy540.000.50-0.50-0.12415-1112.416.6-4.2010.515.1-4.64

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Cain230.00-0.500.500.000-191911.015.0-4.0213.316.5-3.14
Cole Swider230.00-0.500.500.000-191911.015.0-4.0213.316.5-3.14
Orlando Robinson230.00-0.500.500.000-191911.015.0-4.0213.316.5-3.14
Alondes Williams230.00-0.500.500.000-191911.015.0-4.0213.316.5-3.14
Kevin Love3736-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-1-181714.315.4-1.0716.216.5-0.29
Tyler Herro6968-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-5-14915.313.81.5416.416.30.11
Patty Mills2122-0.22-0.280.050.10-11-8-313.315.4-2.1416.516.30.11
Jimmy Butler6969-0.25-0.250.000.01-9-10113.818.3-4.4316.815.21.59
Nikola Jovic4746-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.00-9-10115.014.80.1816.016.7-0.65
Jaime Jaquez Jr.3636-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.06-7-12514.915.0-0.0815.816.7-0.93
Bam Adebayo5554-0.33-0.17-0.160.25-201-2115.713.81.9316.715.90.85
Caleb Martin7372-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-3-1315.612.23.4316.216.9-0.68
Haywood Highsmith4545-0.43-0.07-0.360.07-17-2-1515.914.01.8717.215.61.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 88, DET 730.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
TOR 110, MIL 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,096.8%
MIA 111, ORL 980.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,096.6%