NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	110		Excitement	3.5 [980]		MVP	Norman Powell (TOR): +18.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	1.6 [190]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -15.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.25	0.00	0.07	12	91%	0.21	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	18	63%	0.13	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.01
Matt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	38%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.00	20	43%	-0.04	5	-0.07	13	54%	-0.06
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	0.03	13	45%	-0.02	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.7	27.6	16.4	30.2	2.8	39.5	149.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.9%

TOR +7.1%

MIL -11.7%

TOR +11.1%

TOR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	14.4	114.6	98.0	111.3
season	14.2	13.5		111.0	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.3	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.9	15.0	15.2	16.6	15.4
MIL	12.4	17.0	14.2	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	29	30	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	-5	24	15.4	15.4	-0.04	15.4	13.8	1.54
Fred VanVleet	80	83	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	3	8	15.6	14.4	1.24	14.0	16.1	-2.17
Matt Thomas	35	35	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	1	12	15.6	15.3	0.26	13.2	14.9	-1.70
Pascal Siakam	74	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	4	6	15.9	13.6	2.36	14.5	13.5	1.01
DeAndre' Bembry	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	2	10	16.4	12.6	3.74	15.0	12.4	2.60
Norman Powell	63	66	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	2	10	14.9	16.5	-1.60	13.5	15.9	-2.34
Chris Boucher	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	10	-6	15.6	15.3	0.31	13.3	15.1	-1.79
OG Anunoby	53	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	12	-10	15.2	15.7	-0.57	15.2	13.1	2.10
Stanley Johnson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	9.7	15.6	-5.92	13.0	14.3	-1.34
Paul Watson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	6.0	15.6	-9.61	16.0	14.3	1.74
Terence Davis	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	9.7	15.6	-5.92	13.0	14.3	-1.34
Yuta Watanabe	11	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	17	-20	13.0	15.7	-2.72	16.1	14.0	2.04
Malachi Flynn	10	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	21	-28	14.4	15.5	-1.12	13.4	14.4	-0.94

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-20	26	15.1	14.1	0.92	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Jaylen Adams	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	13.0	14.3	-1.34	9.7	15.6	-5.92
Donte DiVincenzo	51	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-17	20	13.7	14.9	-1.23	17.2	13.3	3.94
Bryn Forbes	57	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-17	20	14.4	14.1	0.34	16.3	14.2	2.07
Torrey Craig	19	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-11	8	11.7	14.9	-3.24	11.9	16.2	-4.28
Brook Lopez	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-3	-8	16.0	13.0	3.01	14.9	15.8	-0.96
Pat Connaughton	62	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	13.4	15.8	-2.34	15.4	15.4	0.07
Giannis Antetokounmpo	70	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-6	-2	14.7	13.3	1.41	16.3	12.7	3.65
D.J. Augustin	51	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	2	-18	15.1	13.4	1.67	14.7	16.2	-1.56
Bobby Portis	42	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	4	-22	14.2	14.4	-0.18	13.7	16.6	-2.93
Khris Middleton	78	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	2	-18	14.0	15.3	-1.26	15.6	14.8	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 112, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
NJN 89, NYK 74	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
PHI 115, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%